The Cincinnati Reds (16-13) and San Diego Padres (14-18) meet Tuesday as they continue a 3-game set in Southern California. The first pitch at PETCO Park is slated for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Reds lead 1-0
The Reds collected 5 extra-base hits in taking Monday’s opener 5-2. They are 2-2 on their road trip that opened against the Texas Rangers over the weekend.
San Diego has lost 5 in a row; the Padres are just 6-12 at home. The Padres had just 4 hits and struck out 14 times Monday.
Reds at Padres projected starters
RHP Nick Martinez vs RHP Yu Darvish
Martinez (0-1, 5.48 ERA) is tabbed for his 4th start. He owns a 1.39 WHIP, 0.8 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 23 IP across 5 games (3 starts)
- Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 5 ER, 11 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 5-0 loss vs. Philadelphia Phillies Thursday
- Career vs. Padres: 0-1, 6.00 ERA (6 IP, 4 ER), 8 H, 1 BB, 4 K
- Owns a 4.36 ERA across a 665-inning MLB career
Darvish (0-1, 4.18 ERA) is making his 6th start. He owns a 1.27 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 23 2/3 IP.
- Coming off the IL (neck tightness) to make this start; last started April 14
- Career vs. Reds: 4-3, 3.34 ERA (62 IP, 23 ER), 48 H, 20 BB, 82 K
- Owns a PETCO ERA of 3.49 over 49 career starts
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Reds at Padres odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:30 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Reds +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Padres -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-150) | Padres -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Reds at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 4, Padres 3
Moneyline
Martinez has done well to avoid walks and hard contact. He’s been undone somewhat by a .359 batting average on balls in play.
The Reds have been hurt by a 1-4 mark in 1-run games and figure as being a bit better than where they stand through the 1st month. Drawing Darvish off an injury swings the pendulum to some value on the plus-money here.
TAKE CINCINNATI (+135).
Run line/Against the spread
More juice equals more problems. PASS.
Over/Under
The Under 8 cashed in Monday’s opener. The Under is 4-1 in Cincinnati’s last 5 games and is a moderate lean here.
Martinez has expected-ERA numbers flying under the radar and under his surface mark. Both bullpens are decent and in decent shape at the back to provide quality innings.
Both offenses have clocked sub-.650 OPS numbers since April 17.
TAKE THE UNDER 7.5 (-105).
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