The Cincinnati Reds (68-73) and New York Mets (76-64) open a 3-game set Friday. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mets lead 2-1
The Reds have won 4 games in a row after taking down the Houston Astros 1-0 Thursday as +135 home underdogs. 1B Ty France hit a solo shot in the 7th inning to get Cincinnati on the board. SP Rhett Lowder allowed 4 hits and 4 walks with 3 K’s in 6 1/3 shutout innings, while RP Tony Santillan (1 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 1 BB, 1 K) picked up the win.
New York has won 7 games in a row after handling the Boston Red Sox 8-3 Wednesday as a -112 home favorite. DH Jesse Winker hit a grand slam in the 1st inning, while RP Danny Young (1 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 0 BB, 1 K) recorded the win.
Reds at Mets projected starters
RHP Fernando Cruz vs. LHP Sean Manaea
Cruz (3-8, 4.99 ERA) makes his 3rd start and 64th appearance. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 14.0 K/9 through 57 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decison, 2 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 5-4 home loss against Milwaukee Brewers Saturday
- Career vs. Mets: 0-1, 3.00 ERA (3 IP, 1 ER), 0 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 2 relief appearances, including 0-1 with 9.00 ERA (1 IP, 1 ER) in 1 relief appearance this year
Manaea (11-5, 3.35 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 through 150 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 2-0 win at Chicago White Sox Sunday
- Career vs. Reds: 2-0, 2.70 ERA (13 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 in 3 appearances (2 starts), including 1-0 with 1.80 ERA (5 IP, 1 ER) in 1 start this season
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Reds at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Mets -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-145) | Mets -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Reds at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 6, Reds 3
Moneyline
PASS.
There is no value on the Mets (-185) to win Friday.
Run line/Against the spread
BET METS -1.5 (+120).
The Mets have won 8 of their last 9 Games, including each of their last 7, with 7 of their last 8 wins coming by 2 or more runs. They have won back-to-back Games by 5 runs and each of their last 6 by 2 or more runs. Against a Reds team that is starting Cruz, who has been a reliever and will force them to go into the bullpen earlier than usual, NEW YORK -1.5 (+120) is a solid play.
Over/Under
BET OVER 7.5 (-115).
The Reds have scored 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 games while allowing 5 or more in 7 of their last 10. The Mets have scored 7 or more runs in back-to-back games and at least 4 in 7 of their last 9.
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