The Cincinnati Reds (55-59) visit the Miami Marlins (43-72) Thursday to conclude their season series. First pitch from loanDepot park is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Reds vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Reds lead 4-2
The Reds had a 2-Game winning streak snapped with a 6-4 loss against the Marlins on Wednesday while failing to cover as -113 road favorites. CF TJ Friedl produced Cincinnati’s runs with a grand slam while LHP Andrew Abbott allowed 5 runs in the 1st and 6 in 5 innings to take the loss.
The Marlins snapped a 2-Game losing streak with the win as +105 favorites. LF Derek Hill hit a grand slam while RHP Valente Bellozo allowed 0 ER in 5 2/3 innings to pick up the win.
Reds at Marlins projected starters
RHP Hunter Greene vs. RHP Kyle Tyler
Greene (8-4, 2.83 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 130 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 11 K in 6-4 win against San Francisco Giants Saturday.
- Career vs. Marlins: 1-1, 1.46 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 10 H, 1 BB, 14 K in 2 starts; last outing in 2022.
Tyler (0-2, 5.27 ERA) makes his 7th start and 8th appearance. He has a 1.76 WHIP, 5.3 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 27 1/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 2 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 2 K in 4-3 win at Atlanta Braves Saturday.
- First appearance against the Reds
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Reds at Marlins odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:39 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Reds -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Marlins +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (-110) | Marlins +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Reds at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 6, Marlins 3
Moneyline
PASS.
There is better value on the Reds run line in this matchup.
Run line/Against the spread
BET REDS -1.5 (-110).
In 13 of their last 14 wins, including each of the last 5, the Reds have won by 2 or more runs. In the 3 games in this current series, Cincinnati is outscoring Miami 22-11. Each of Miami’s last 6 losses have come by multiple runs. With Greene on the mound for Cincinnati, expect the Marlins to have a difficult time keeping up on Thursday.
Over/Under
BET OVER 7.5 (-110).
The previous 3 games in this series have all hit the Over. Each of the Reds’ last 5 games and 8 of their last 9 have gone north of 7.5 runs while they have a 6-1 Over record in their last 7 games. Cincinnati has also scored 4 or more runs in 4 of its last 5 games while Miami has scored 4 or more runs in 3 of its last 5.
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