The Chicago White Sox (25-64) visit the Miami Marlins (30-57) on Friday. First pitch from loanDepot park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the White Sox vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Miami won 2 of 3 in 2023

The White Sox lost 8-4 to the Cleveland Guardians on Thursday as +194 road underdogs. SS Paul DeJong and 3B Lenyn Sosa each had 2 RBIs while LHP Jared Shuster allowed 2 ER in 2 IP to take the loss.

Miami has dropped 4 games in a row after losing 6-5 in 12 innings to the Boston Red Sox on Thursday as a +138 home underdog. RF Jesus Sanchez hit a 2-run HR in the bottom of the 11th to tie the game before Boston won it in the 12th off RHP Matt Andriese.

White Sox at Marlins projected starters

RHP Drew Thorpe vs. RHP Bryan Hoeing

Thorpe (2-1, 4.43 ERA) makes his 5th career start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 5.31 BB/9 and 5.75 K/9 in 20 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 5-3 win against Colorado Rockies Friday.
  • The 23-year-old made his MLB debut on June 11

Hoeing (0-0, 1.83 ERA) makes his 12th appearance and 1st start. He has a 0.92 WHIP, 2.29 BB/9 and 7.32 K/9 in 19 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Hold, 1 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 0 K in 4-1 win against Colorado Rockies on May 1
  • Career vs. White Sox: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (1 IP, 0 ER), 0 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 1 appearance in 2023

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

White Sox at Marlins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:06 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): White Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Marlins -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): White Sox +1.5 (-225) | Marlins -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

White Sox at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 6, White Sox 5

Moneyline

BET MARLINS (-115).

The White Sox are a mere 9-35 on the road this season and have lost 3 of their last 4 games. Thorpe is a young pitcher who has shown a tendency to walk batters, with a near even BB/9 compared to his K/9 rate. Miami has scored 5 or more runs in 2 of its last 4 games and will see success offensively against Thorpe on Friday.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is no value on the run line in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (+100).

The White Sox have scored 4 or more runs in each of their last 6 Games while allowing 5 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 Games, and 3 or more runs in 8 of their last 10. Miami has scored 5-plus runs twice in the last 4 Games has allowed 6 or more in 4 straight Games.

Chicago has hit the Over in each of its last 5 Games and Miami has hit the Over in each of its last 4.

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