MLB
Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 8-3-24 MLB Picks
St. Louis Cardinals (56-53) vs. Chicago Cubs (53-58)
August 3, 2024 2:20 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago Cubs -120 / St. Louis Cardinals +110; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The St. Louis Cardinals and the Chicago Cubs meet Saturday in MLB action from Wrigley Field. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction. This will be the third installment in a four-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
This week the Cardinals took on the Texas Rangers. St. Louis lost the Monday Game but came back for wins in the next pair to take the series. Following a tough 5-4 loss to the Cubs on Thursday, in Game two the Cardinals took a 6-3 loss. Starter Erick Fedde gave up five earned in 5.0 innings.
In the starter slot for St. Louis on Saturday it’ll be Kyle Gibson. This year Gibson is 7-4 with a 3.97 ERA in 20 starts. Gibson is 111-104 with a 4.51 ERA in 320 career Games (314 starts).
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
Over on the Cubs’ side, they played the Cincinnati Reds in their last series. Chicago lost the first two Games before a 13-4 win Wednesday halted the sweep. In Game two versus the Cards, the Cubs scored five runs in the second and held on from there. Javier Assad managed 4.0 innings with one earned in the start.
It’ll be Jameson Taillon as starter for Chicago on Saturday. So far Taillon is 7-6 with a 3.35 ERA in 18 starts. Taillon is 66-51 in his career with a 3.94 ERA in 191 games (190 starts).
Cardinals vs Cubs Pick Injury Notes
Cubs RP Adbert Alzolay will undergo surgery on his right forearm.
Cardinals SP Lance Lynn (knee) had an injection and will be shut down for a couple of days.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Cubs’ last six day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Cardinals’ last eight games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last four day games at Wrigley Field.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Cody Bellinger has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two games as favorites.
- Jameson Taillon has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in day games.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven appearances against NL opponents.
- Seiya Suzuki has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cubs’ last eight games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jameson Taillon has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his nine previous home appearances against the Cardinals.
- Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cubs’ last eight games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Nick Madrigal has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Cubs as favorites against the Cardinals.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Alec Burleson has hit a home run in three of the Cardinals’ last five day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Gibson has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Alec Burleson has recorded at least one RBI in nine of his last 11 appearances with the Cardinals as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Paul Goldschmidt has scored at least one run in each of the Cardinals’ last four games as underdogs.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cardinals’ last nine Saturday day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Gibson has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Brandon Crawford has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with the Cardinals as road underdogs.
- Brandon Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against the Cubs after playing the previous day.
- Brandon Crawford has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight road appearances against the Cubs after playing the previous day.
Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
I’ll lean toward trying the Cardinals here. Gibson has a couple of good starts in his last pair, but he’s just 0-1 in that time. Over those two Gibson has 11.2 innings with three earned runs. As for Taillon, he’ll need to bounce back after giving up six earned in 4.1 innings in his last start.
On Friday the Cardinals had one very bad inning on the mound but otherwise didn’t pitch too badly. The offense was an issue, though; St. Louis managed just four team hits. The Cardinals have to get the bats going Saturday or they’ll be on the verge of getting swept.
Andrew's Free Pick: St. Louis Cardinals +110
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