Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 5-5-24 Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs meet Sunday in MLB Game 3 action at Wrigley Field. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 20-12 this season and face off against the Royals next. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 15 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 Games. The Milwaukee Brewers have won 5 of their last 7 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 43 hits and 27 RBI, while Willy Adames and Brice Turang have combined for 65 hits and 34 RBI.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 20-14 this season and play the Padres after this Game. The Chicago Cubs have scored 13 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 8 Games. The Chicago Cubs have lost 5 of their last 8 Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Nico Hoerner leads the Chicago Cubs with 36 hits and 8 RBI, while Michael Busch and Ian Happ have combined for 57 hits and 30 RBI.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Freddy Peralta gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 3-0 with a 3.21 ERA and 45 strikeouts this season. Peralta has allowed 11 runs in his last 27.2 innings, and the Brewers are 6-0 this season when he pitches. Peralta has a 2.78 ERA and .185 allowed batting average in 22.2 road innings. Peralta is 5-1 with a 3.34 ERA and 85 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago Cubs.

Javier Assad gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 2-0 with a 1.97 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. Assad has allowed 23 hits and 7 runs through 32 innings on the season. Assad has allowed 1 run in each of his last 3 starts. Assad has a 1.10 ERA and .196 allowed abetting average in 16.1 home innings. Assad is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Javier Assad Record this season: 2-0 ERA: 1.97
• The Cubs have won each of their last four games as home underdogs.
• The Brewers have lost four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Brewers’ last six games at Wrigley Field.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs.
• The Cubs have won the first inning in three of their last four games as home underdogs.
• The Cubs have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Freddy Peralta Record this season: 3-0 ERA: 3.21
• The Brewers have won 10 of their last 11 day games against National League opponents.
• The Cubs have lost each of their last four games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games against NL Central opponents.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Cubs’ last five games as underdogs against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Brewers’ last five games as favorites against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last five Sunday games at Wrigley Field.

Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

You can make a case for either the Brewers or Cubs, especially with Freddy Peralta and Javier Assad pitching the way they are. The Cubs probably have the edge at home, where they have a certain pep in their step. However, we’re getting a cheap price with Peralta, a pitcher who is 10th in strikeouts and has the sixth-best WHIP. The Brewers are 6-0 this season when Peralta pitches. I have to side with the Brewers given the pitching dominance in the starting role.