MLB

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 9-29-24 MLB Picks

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1m ago

Sep 30, 2024 / 7365 Views

Evan Walker

Cincinnati Reds (76-85) vs. Chicago Cubs (83-78)
September 29, 2024 3:20 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago Cubs +106 / Cincinnati Reds -125; Over/Under: +7
(Get latest betting odds)

The Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at Wrigley Field. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction. This article will include a Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Pick.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 76-85 on the year after playing the Pirates and Guardians. The Cincinnati Reds have scored 2 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 straight Games. The Cincinnati Reds have lost 10 straight Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 159 hits and 74 RBI, while Jonathan India and Spencer Steer have combined for 260 hits and 150 RBI.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 83-78 on the year after playing the Nationals and Phillies. The Chicago Cubs have scored 10 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 11 Games. The Chicago Cubs have split their last 8 Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Nico Hoerner leads the Chicago Cubs with 158 hits and 48 RBI, while Seiya Suzuki and Ian Happ have combined for 282 hits and 159 RBI.

Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Pick Matchup

Hunter Greene gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 9-5 with a 2.83 ERA and 166 strikeouts this season. Greene has allowed 6 hits and 2 runs in his last 10 innings. Greene has a 2.17 ERA and .156 allowed batting average in 66.1 road innings. Greene is 4-1 with a 4.54 ERA and 43 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago Cubs.

Caleb Kilian gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 0-1 with a 7.94 ERA and 3 strikeouts this season. Kilian has allowed 8 hits and 5 earned runs in 5.2 innings this season. Kilian will make his fifth career MLB start. This will be Kilian’s first career Game against the Cincinnati Reds.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

The Cubs have lost four of their last five games against the Reds following a win.
The Reds have covered the run line in five of their last six games against the Cubs following a loss.
The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 16 home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

Ian Happ has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cubs’ last nine games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Christian Bethancourt has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against NL Central opponents.
Mike Tauchman has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
Ian Happ has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last nine games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Dansby Swanson has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances after playing the previous day.
Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one Double in three of the Cubs’ last four games against NL opponents.
Ian Happ has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cubs’ last six games against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

Hunter Greene has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Reds’ last nine road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Hunter Greene has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his 15 previous road appearances against NL Central opponents.
Ty France has recorded two or more total bases in three of his four previous road appearances against the Cubs after playing the previous day.
TJ Friedl has hit a home run in six of his last 18 appearances against the Cubs after playing the previous day.
Jeimer Candelario has recorded an RBI in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
Jeimer Candelario has recorded two hits in each of his last two appearances at Wrigley Field.
Amed Rosario has scored at least one run in each of his last three appearances against the Cubs.

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

It’s hard to get behind the Cincinnati Reds because they’re not scoring runs this week and look like a team that’s already packed for Barcelona. However, Hunter Greene is an above average pitcher with great stuff and made an all star team this season. Caleb Kilian has seen limited MLB reps despite being 27 years old and will pitch for just the second time this season. It’s a massive mismatch on the mound, and the price is more than reasonable. I’ll lean Reds in the last Game of the season for the Cubs and Reds.