The Chicago Bears (4-3) are on the road in Week 9 against the Arizona Cardinals (4-4). Kickoff from State Farm Stadium is Sunday at 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Bears vs. Cardinals odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Bears are coming off a heartbreaking 18-15 road loss to the Washington Commanders, failing to cover the 1-point spread as underdogs. After scoring a go-ahead touchdown with 25 seconds left in the game, Commanders QB Jayden Daniels threw a 52-yard Hail Mary TD pass as time expired. The loss snapped a 3-game winning streak.
The Cardinals won for the second straight week and third time in 4 games on Sunday. They beat the Miami Dolphins 28-27 as 4.5-point road dogs on a walk-off 34-yard field goal from K Chad Ryland, his third game-winning field goal in the final 2 minutes of a game in October.
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Bears at Cardinals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:14 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Bears +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Cardinals -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Bears +1.5 (-110) | Cardinals -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Bears at Cardinals key injuries
Bears
- T Kiran Amegadjie (calf) out
- C Ryan Bates (shoulder) questionable
- T Larry Borom (ankle) questionable
- S Jaquan Brisker (concussion) out
- CB Kyler Gordon (hamstring) questionable
- LG Teven Jenkins (knee) questionable
- LT Braxton Jones (knee) out
- DE Montez Sweat (shin) questionable
Cardinals
- DL Naquan Jones (thigh) questionable
- DL Roy Lopez (ankle) questionable
- DL Darius Robinson (calf) out
- OL Jonah Williams (knee) out
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Bears at Cardinals picks and predictions
Prediction
Cardinals 23, Bears 20
Moneyline
The Bears have not allowed more than 21 points this season, but they also are winless on the road and haven’t scored more than 16 points in those games.
This game is when those scoring trends change.
The Bears are No. 4 in scoring defense, allowing 17.0 points per game. But their 1 weakness is against the run. They allowed 4.7 yards per attempt and the Cardinals average 5.2 when they run the ball.
The Cardinals have allowed 20 or more points 5 times this season.
I’m giving the edge to the home team, and because the Cardinals have a pair of 1-point wins in their last 4 games, the -125 odds aren’t too much of a difference to lose a bet over 1 point.
BET CARDINALS (-125).
Against the spread
All 3 of the Bears’ losses have been at least 3 points, but the Cardinals’ 2 wins by 1-point in their last 4 games makes me want to avoid the spread.
PASS.
Over/Under
The Bears haven’t allowed over 21 points all season and have not scored more than 16 on the road. Even surpassing those numbers slightly won’t get this Game Over the projected total.
All 3 Chicago losses had 35 or fewer points.
BET UNDER 44.5 (-110).
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