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Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Prediction 11-3-24 Picks

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Miami Dolphins (2-5) vs. Buffalo Bills (6-2)
November 3, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Buffalo Bills -6.5; Over/Under: +49
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Dolphins and the Buffalo Bills meet in week 9 NFL action from Highmark Stadium on Sunday Afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this Game. Here’s a Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills prediction.

Miami Dolphins Recap

The Miami Dolphins will be out to rebound after a 28-27 loss at the hands of the Arizona Cardinals last time out to fall to 2-5 on the year. After this Game, Miami will head out west for a matchup with the Los Angeles Rams.

Dolphins Drop Back-To-Back Games

Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for 717 yards, 3 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 68% passing while Tyler Huntley’s thrown for 377 yards, a touchdown and an INT on 59.1% passing and Skylar Thompson has 187 passing yards as well. De’Von Achane has a team-high 357 rushing yards while Jaylen Wright has 190 rushing yards as well. Tyreek Hill leads Miami’s receiving group with 30 grabs for 366 yards while Jaylen Waddle has 26 receptions for 314 yards. Achane and Jonnu Smith each have 200+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Jordyn Brooks has a team-high 55 total tackles including 31 solo tackles while Miami’s defense as a whole has combined for 9 sacks and 3 interceptions on the year.

Why the Miami Dolphins will win

  • The Dolphins have won each of their last four November games as underdogs.
  • The Bills have lost each of their last three Week 9 games as favorites against AFC opponents.
  • The Bills have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Week 9 games against AFC opponents.
  • The Dolphins have covered the spread in each of their last four November games as underdogs.

Buffalo Bills Recap

The Buffalo Bills come into this Game looking to pick up another win after a 31-10 victory over Seattle last time out. After this Game, the Bills will go on the road for a matchup against the Colts.

Bills Win Three Straight

Josh Allen has thrown for 1,766 yards, 14 touchdowns and an interception on 64.1% passing while also rushing for 204 yards and 3 touchdowns. James Cook has a team-high 452 rushing yards with 7 TDs while Ray Davis has 242 rushing yards and 2 TDs. Khalil Shakir has a team-high 36 receptions for 421 yards and 2 touchdowns while Keon Coleman has 396 receiving yards and 3 TDs. Dalton Kincaid also has 300 receiving yards as well. On defense, Dorian Williams has a team-high 72 total tackles including 45 solo tackles while AJ Epenesa has a team-high 4 sacks and Greg Rousseau has 3.5 sacks as well on the year. As a unit, Buffalo’s defense has put up 20 sacks and 8 interceptions this season.

Why the Buffalo Bills will win

  • The Bills have won each of their last 11 home games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Dolphins have lost each of their last 10 Sunday games at Highmark Stadium.
  • The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as underdogs.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Bills’ last six games.

Dolphins vs. Bills Prediction

I’m on the Bills here. I know at a certain point, you probably have to expect the Dolphins to put up a fight and fight to keep their season alive. However, the Dolphins looked dead against Arizona and the Bills are forging ahead and creating distance between themselves and the AFC East. When the Bills usually win as well, they usually win by margin with Josh Allen under center, and I think the Bills win this one convincingly as well. Give me Buffalo.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Buffalo -6.5

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