Bournemouth vs. Southampton prediction, odds, time: 2024 Premier League picks, Sept. 30 bets by proven expert

After spending three of the last four years playing at different levels, a South Coast Derby is renewed on Monday when Bournemouth hosts Southampton in the English Premier League. Southampton are currently 19th in the Premier League table after taking only one point from their first five matches, while Bournemouth are 13th with five points in five games. However, Southampton have won two of their last three matches against Bournemouth in the Premier League and three of the last four in all competitions.

Kickoff from Vitality Stadium is set for 3 p.m. ET. Bournemouth are the -210 favorites (risk $210 to win $100) in the latest Bournemouth vs. Southampton odds, with Saints listed as the +500 underdogs. A draw is priced at +360, and the over/under for total goals scored is 3.5. Before locking in any Southampton vs. Bournemouth picks, you need to see what proven SportsLine soccer insider Martin Green has to say.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Last year, Green was profitable in multiple areas on his soccer picks, including the Champions League (+3.05 units), FA Cup (+3.07), EFL Cup (+4.47) and Euro 2024 qualifiers (+6.30), among others. He also was solid with his Premier League picks last year, going 30-22-1 (+7.07).

Now, Green has broken down Bournemouth vs. Southampton from every angle and has locked in his picks and Premier League predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see Green's picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Southampton vs. Bournemouth:

• Bournemouth vs. Southampton money line: Bournemouth -210, Draw +360, Southampton +500
• Bournemouth vs. Southampton over/under: 3.5 goals
• Bournemouth vs. Southampton spread: Bournemouth -1.5 (+134)
• BOU: Bournemouth won their last match against Southampton 1-0 in April 2023
• SOU: The Saints have won their last three matches at Vitality Stadium
• Bournemouth vs. Southampton picks: See picks here

Why you should back Bournemouth

Green knows Bournemouth has been on the rise since making it back to the EPL two seasons ago. The Cherries avoided dropping back to the EFL Championship after finishing 15th last season and got off to a solid start in 2024-25, taking five points from their first three matches. 

They've lost a little bit of momentum with losses to Liverpool and Chelsea, but those are mammoth clubs with huge talent advantages and Bournemouth will be looking to surge back towards the top half with a win on Monday. Antoine Semenyo leads the team in goal contributions this season (two goals and one assist) and could play a major role in this South Cost Derby. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back Southampton

Green also points out there is hope for the Saints despite their inconsistent start to the season. Southampton finished last in the EPL in 2022-23 to end a successful 11-year stay in England's top flight but rebounded to earn promotion last season. 

The Saints finally earned a point in their last match against Ipswich Town, though a stoppage-time goal surrendered made it feel like two points squandered. Eighteen-year-old Tyler Dibling scored in that match and 36-year-old club legend Adam Lallana has two assists in the campaign. Expect those home-grown players to help the squad get up for a big match against a rival. See which team to pick here.

How to make Bournemouth vs. Southampton picks

Green has broken down Southampton vs. Bournemouth from every possible angle and is leaning under on the goal total. He also has locked in a pair of confident best bets, with both offering plus-money payouts, and is offering a full breakdown of this match. He's sharing his Premier League picks and analysis only at SportsLine.

So who wins Bournemouth vs. Southampton on Monday, and where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see which wagers in Southampton vs. Bournemouth have all the value, all from the proven soccer expert who has been profitable across multiple leagues, and find out.

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