MLB
Boston Red Sox vs NY Yankees Prediction 7-27-24 Picks
NY Yankees (60-44) vs. Boston Red Sox (54-47)
July 27, 2024 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -109 / NY Yankees -109; Over/Under: +9.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox meet Saturday in MLB action from Fenway Park. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs NY Yankees Prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The Yankees played their in-city rival New York Mets this week, and things didn’t go well. The Yankees lost both of those Games 3-2 and 12-3. On Friday versus the Red Sox, the Yankees would fall again 9-7. Starter Nestor Cortes gave up four earned in 4.2 innings.
In the starter slot for Game two the Yankees will go with Marcus Stroman. This year Stroman is 7-5 with a 3.51 ERA in 20 starts. In 251 career Games (243 starts) Stroman is 84-81 with a 3.64 ERA.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
Over on the Red Sox’ side, they played the Colorado Rockies this week. Boston won 6-0 Tuesday but lost the other pair by a combined 29-15 score. On Friday the Sox bagged 14 team hits (and gave up 14 as well) Brayan Bello managed 5.0 innings in the start with three earned.
Kutter Crawford will take the start for the Sox on Saturday. This season Crawford is 6-8 with a 3.37 ERA in 20 starts. Crawford is 15-23 with a 4.25 ERA in 73 Games (56 starts).
Red Sox vs Yankees Pick Injury Notes
Yankees DH Giancarlo Stanton (hamstring) will aim for a return Monday.
Red Sox RP Liam Hendriks (elbow) threw a 30-pitch bullpen session Friday.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Red Sox’s last six home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Thirteen of the Yankees’ last 15 games as underdogs against the Red Sox have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last eight night games at Fenway Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last seven games between the Yankees and Red Sox at Fenway Park.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Rafael Devers has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last three games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
- Jarren Duran has recorded a Double in five of the Red Sox’s last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight home games against AL East opponents.
- Connor Wong has recorded a Single in each of his last seven home appearances against AL East opponents.
- Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of his last 11 home appearances against AL East opponents.
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine home appearances against AL East opponents.
- Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 11 night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- David Hamilton ranks T4th in the league in Steals (25) this season.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- DJ LeMahieu has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Yankees as road underdogs against the Red Sox.
- Marcus Stroman has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against the Red Sox .
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in four of the Yankees’ last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Marcus Stroman has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
- Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Yankees’ last four games at Fenway Park against opponents that held a winning record.
- Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in 17 of his last 18 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents.
- Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (36) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Boston Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (197).
- The Boston Red Sox are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
- The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (520).
- The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for RBI’s this season (500).
Boston Red Sox vs NY Yankees Prediction
I’ll stay with the Red Sox. Crawford took a loss to the Dodgers his last time up, giving up six earned in 5.0 innings. Prior to that however, Crawford had 14.0 clean innings in a pair of wins. As for Stroman, he’s 0-2 in his last three with eight earned in 14.2 innings total.
On Friday the Sox were in trouble with a 7-4 deficit at one point but stormed back for the victory. I like Boston to keep it rolling against a flailing Yankees team on Saturday.
Andrew's Free Pick: Boston Red Sox -109
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