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Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 4-17-24 Picks

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Cleveland Guardians (11-5) vs. Boston Red Sox (9-8)
April 17, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -132 / Cleveland Guardians +111; Over/Under: 9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Guardians vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB showdown on Wednesday, April 17th at Fenway Park. We will take a look at: 

– The Cleveland Guardians recent form and recent player performance

-The Boston Red Sox recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston

-Recent betting trends in Games played between the Guardians and Red Sox

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Guardians and Red Sox. 

Guardians Offense Looks to Continue Success

The Guardians’ offense scored 10 runs on Tuesday, and they are going to need the offense to continue that success here. The Guardians are averaging 5.44 runs, while their pitching is giving up 3.25 runs per Game. The offense is ranked 5th in the league while the pitching is ranked 2nd. Getting the start for the Guardians will be Ben Lively, who will be making his first start of the year. Last year with the Reds he had an ERA of 5.38. 

Red Sox Pitching Let Them Down 

The Red Sox scored seven runs on Tuesday, but the pitching gave up 10 runs and that led to the defeat. The Red Sox are averaging 4.34 runs, while their pitching is giving up 3.88 runs per Game. The offense is ranked 18th, while the pitching is ranked 5th. Getting the start for the Red Sox will be Tanner Houck who sits with a 2-1 record and an ERA of 2.04. In the last start against the Angels, he went 5.2 innings giving up 12 hits and seven runs. 

Boston Red Sox Team Facts

  • The Red Sox have lost each of their last 13 night games following a home loss.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last seven games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Red Sox have trailed after 7 innings in 10 of their last 14 games as home favorites against American League opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Team Facts

  • The Guardians have won each of their last six games as road underdogs.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs following a win.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last three games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Guardians have led after 7 innings in five of their last six games as road underdogs.
  • The Guardians have led after 3 innings in each of their last three Wednesday games as underdogs.

Guardians vs Red Sox Prediction

If you like high scoring Games, this is going to be the one for you. The Guardians are averaging 5.44 runs per Game, and they are going to have no issue teeing off against Ben Lively here, who I don’t trust. Tanner Houck is going to really be lit up in this Game and that is going by the Guardians also, and that will be the difference here. This Game is going to be a shootout and the over is going to cash. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Over 9.5

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