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Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 6-5-24 Picks

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Atlanta Braves (33-24) vs. Boston Red Sox (30-30)
June 5, 2024 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -106 / Atlanta Braves -111; Over/Under: +9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Braves and the Boston Red Sox meet Wednesday in MLB action from Fenway Park. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves prediction. This will be the final installment in a two-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Braves played the Oakland Athletics in their last series. Atlanta won 4-2 Friday then took a tough loss 11-9 in Game two. In the Sunday rubber match the Braves powered out a 3-1 win to take the series, though. On Tuesday versus Boston, the Braves posted an 8-3 road win. Max Fried struck out 13 over 7.0 innings in the start with two earned on four hits and a walk.

In the starting pitcher role for the Braves on Wednesday it’ll be Spencer SchwelleNBAch. So far SchwelleNBAch only has one start to his credit (the first start of his career), a loss with 5.0 innings and five Ks.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Over on the Red Sox’ side, they played the Detroit Tigers over the weekend. Boston managed wins 7-3 Friday and 6-3 Saturday but otherwise lost 5-0 and 8-4 to split the set. In their Tuesday matchup the Sox were out-hit 8-5 but did have a 3-2 lead at one point. Kutter Crawford gave up four over 6.0 innings in the starting role.

It’ll be Nick Pivetta in the starter slot for the Sox on Wednesday. So far this year Pivetta is 2-4 with a 4.08 ERA and 42 Ks in 35.1 innings over seven starts. Pivetta is 52-63 with a 4.83 ERA in 203 Games (159 starts).

Braves vs Red Sox Injury Notes

Red Sox LF Masataka Yoshida (thumb) could begin a rehab assignment this week. SS Romy Gonzalez (hamstring) will be ready to return from the IL when he’s first eligible if all goes well.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Red Sox’s last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Braves’ last five games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last nine home games against National League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last four road games against American League opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Nick Pivetta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Red Sox as home favorites.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine Wednesday appearances.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL East opponents.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 16 appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL East opponents.
  • Trevor Story has scored at least one run in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL East opponents.
  • Trevor Story has hit at least one home run in eight of his last 12 appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Braves.
  • Triston Casas has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Austin Riley has recorded a Double in five of the Braves’ last six games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in three of the Braves’ last four games at Fenway Park against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ozzie Albies has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last five road games against AL East opponents.
  • Orlando Arcia has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 12 road games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 Wednesday day appearances.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Travis d’Arnaud has recorded at least one RBI in each of his four previous appearances with his team as an underdog against the Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

I’ll stick with the Red Sox. Pivetta needs a good outing, though. Over his last two starts Pivetta is 0-2 with seven earned runs on 10 hits and five walks in 8.2 innings. As for Schwellenbach, he gave up three earned in 5.0 innings versus the Nationals in his first start.

On Tuesday the Red Sox had a pretty solid start offensively but couldn’t do anything on the scoreboard after the fourth inning. Bobby Dalbec had a couple of RBI and Dominic Smith hit a solo homer in the losing effort. I like the Sox to bounce back in Game two to even things out.

Andrew's Free Pick: Boston Red Sox -106

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