The Texas Rangers didn’t let their +3500 preseason odds of winning it all get in their way last year. They made quick work of the Arizona Diamondbacks, winning in 5 games, and SS Corey Seager took home his 2nd World Series MVP.
The Rangers had a relatively quiet offseason, adding the likes of C Andrew Knizner, RHP Tyler Mahle, RHP David Robertson, and RHP Kirby Yates. It will be interesting to see if this team was just a flash in the pan or if Texas can replicate last season’s success. Let’s analyze the Texas Rangers’ World Series odds, along with their projected win total, playoff, division and AL odds as we make our expert MLB picks and predictions.
Texas Rangers World Series odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday, March 24, at 10:59 p.m. ET.
Odds: +1400 (bet $100 to win $1,400)
Texas is tied with the Baltimore Orioles for the 5th-shortest odds to win the World Series. The Los Angeles Dodgers (+320) are the favorites, followed by the Atlanta Braves (+450), Houston Astros (+700) and New York Yankees (+900).
At +1400, Texas has an implied probability of winning it all of 6.67%, and to be profitable, you would only have to hit bets at these odds once every 14 times.
However, the last time a team won the World Series in back-to-back seasons was the Yankees’ 3-peat from 1998-2000.
The Rangers don’t feel like a dynasty, and at +1400, you’re getting short-changed. PASS.
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Texas Rangers playoff odds
Will they make the playoffs: Yes -184 | No +142
In a tough division like the AL West, there’s a decent chance that the Rangers could miss the playoffs.
Seager is coming off a Sports hernia surgery, and he may not be good for 30-plus home runs this time around. RHP Jacob deGrom isn’t expected to return from Tommy John surgery until August, and RHP Max Scherzer may not be as dominant after recovering from back surgery.
I’m not saying it’s guaranteed that the Rangers will let down after winning as huge underdogs last year, but them missing the playoffs shouldn’t pay out at such a high rate.
BET NO (+142).
Texas Rangers win total
Over/Under: 88.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
The Rangers are expected to start slow, and we can see that is already baked into the line. They have multiple stars coming back from injury, and defending champions may be somewhat complacent early in the season.
Texas went 90-72 last season and are bringing back pretty much the same team, but with less hunger. However, this number was 89.5 back in January, and there is likely minimal value left after it got bet down in the offseason.
LEAN UNDER 88.5 (-112).
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To win AL West Division
- Houston Astros -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Texas Rangers +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
- Seattle Mariners +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
- Los Angeles Angels +4500 (bet $100 to win $4,500)
- Oakland Athletics +25000 (bet $100 to win $25,000)
Texas’ implied probability of winning the AL West this season is 32.26%. Even though they ended up winning the World Series, they didn’t win their division last season, and even as the defending champs, they’re still pretty sizable underdogs to Houston.
Add in that the Mariners probably won’t self-destruct at the end of the regular season again, and there are 3 good reasons to AVOID betting the Rangers to win their division.
To win American League
Odds: +650 (bet $100 to win $650)
The Rangers are tied with the Orioles for the 3rd-shortest odds to win the AL. The Astros (+360) are the favorites, followed by the Yankees (+450).
The market doesn’t believe that the Rangers will make back-to-back World Series appearances, and neither do I. They had a great run last year cashing as +3500 preseason underdogs, but the run has come to an end.
PASS.
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