The San Francisco Giants went 79-83 (.488) in 2023. They were quite good in May-June, going 35-20 with a run differential to match. But the Giants then faded down the stretch, especially late. They went just 9-19 after Sept. 1, and it was the San Francisco offense failing to match its early-season production that sent the club tumbling below .500.
Gone are longtime Giants SS Brandon Crawford (member of the ballclub since 2011), 3B JD Davis (18 HR in 2023), and OF Joc Pederson (15 HR in 2023). Incoming are OF Jung Hoo Lee, an all-around 25-year-old talent from the Korean Baseball Organization, 3B Matt Chapman (17 HR, .754 OPS in 2023 with Toronto Raptors) and OF Jorge Soler (36 HR, .853 OPS with Miami Marlins last season).
Let’s analyze the San Francisco Giants’ World Series odds, along with their projected win total, playoff, division and NL odds as we make our expert MLB picks and predictions.
San Francisco Giants World Series odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday, March 24, at 10:31 p.m. ET.
Odds: +4500 (bet $100 to win $4,500)
At +4500, San Francisco has an implied probability of winning the World Series of 2.17% or 45/1 fractional odds.
The Giants have middle-of-the-pack odds to win the World Series championship. The Los Angeles Dodgers (+350), Atlanta Braves (+450), and Houston Astros (+800) have the shortest odds. The Chicago White Sox, Colorado Rockies and Oakland Athletics have the longest odds; all 3 are pegged at +50000.
With the San Diego Padres stepping back from being a monster-payroll club and the Rockies being where they are in rebuild mode, there is hope for a bit of a San Francisco surge. The Dodgers and Braves suck up a lot of oxygen on the NL side of this equation. What’s left figures on a bit of long-odds value on a couple teams. The Giants are one of those teams. Backing the GIANTS (+4500) to win the World Series for a 45-1 payoff is worth a small wager.
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San Francisco Giants playoff odds
Will they make the playoffs: Yes +115 | No -135
The up vote here has a 46.51% implied probability. With the Giants inking RP Jordan Hicks (3.29 ERA in 61 1/3 IP in 2023) and SP Blake Snell (2.25 ERA in 180 IP in 2023), and with the highly-rated-defensively Lee ticketed for center field, expect San Francisco to be solid on the pitching-and-defense side of the run-differential equation. Look for an offense that had a solid .750 OPS on Flag Day to retain maybe not that level but something closer to it than the .654 OPS posted the rest of the way last season.
An expectation of the Giants being a 50% proposition to make the playoffs is reasonable. BACK SAN FRANCISCO (+115) to reach the postseason.
San Francisco Giants win total
Over/Under: 83.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
The key is likely the offense. Last season, the Giants ranked 24th in MLB with 4.16 runs per Game. Again, that figure is based on a late-season slide: when the club wrapped up a 10-Game winning streak June 21, its season average was sitting at 4.99 RPG.
Even a partial rally in that department should set up San Francisco with a reasonable bad-luck base around 80 Games.
BACK THE GIANTS OVER 83.5 (-110).
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To win NL West Division
- Los Angeles Dodgers -550 (bet $550 to win $100)
- San Francisco Giants +1000 (bet $100 to win $1,000)
- Arizona Diamondbacks +1100 (bet $100 to win $1,100)
- San Diego Padres +1100 (bet $100 to win $1,100)
- Colorado Rockies +25000 (bet $100 to win $25,000)
San Francisco’s implied probability of winning the NL West is 9.09% or 10/1 fractional odds. The deep and talented Dodgers, at -550, have implied odds of 84.75%. Any value upside with this set of 5 clubs is more likely on Los Angeles than on the Giants or the 3 others.
STEER CLEAR.
To win National League
Odds: +2200 (bet $100 to win $2,200)
Based on the Giants being a likable club to make the playoff field and do so at a value price and based on the nature of the baseball playoffs, SAN FRANCISCO (+2200) has a sliver of value and is worth some minimal futures action.
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