The Arizona Diamondbacks shocked all of Major League Baseball last season starting hot, fading after the All-Star break, barely making the playoffs, and then winning the National League pennant before losing the World Series. They hope to take that season and turn it into something repeatable and sustainable in 2024.
In the offseason, they added LHP Eduardo Rodriguez to the starting rotation to stabilize things behind RHP Zac Gallen and RHP Merrill Kelly. They re-signed LF Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and added 3B Eugenio Suarez and DH Joc Pederson. Closer Paul Sewald, acquired at the trade deadline, returns. Oh, and they will return OF Corbin Carroll after winning NL Rookie of the Year. Let’s analyze the Arizona Diamodbacks’ World Series odds, along with their projected win total, playoff, division and NL odds as we make our expert MLB picks and predictions.
Arizona Diamondbacks World Series odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, March 25 at 9 a.m. ET.
Odds: +4000 (bet $100 to win $4,000)
At +4000 odds, they have 2.44% implied odds of winning the World Series or 40/1 fractional odds. They have longer odds than 13 other teams despite making it to the World Series last season.
The favorites are the Los Angeles Dodgers at +320, the Atlanta Braves at +450 and Houston Astros at +700. The Oakland Athletics and Colorado Rockies have the longest odds in all of baseball at +50000.
The Diamondbacks were an absolute surprise last season but perhaps should not have been after their 1st half of last season, when they led the NL West and were 1 of the NL’s best teams through June.
They had 2 aces in Gallen and Kelly and now have added Rodriguez. They added power with Pederson and Suarez and play great defense.
After the Diamondbacks made it to the World Series a season ago, it is not something impossible to see happening, especially with an improved roster.
With the big potential payout, backing the DIAMONDBACKS (+4000) with a small wager isn’t a terrible thing.
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Arizona Diamondbacks playoff odds
Will they make the playoffs: Yes +124 | No -158
Entering last year, it was a good bet to back them for the playoffs, and they paid off. The Dodgers, with the billion dollars committed to the new additions on the roster and their long run of winning, are still the class of the NL West, but the Diamondbacks will definitely be in the mix for a Wild Card berth again.
BET DIAMONDBACKS YES TO MAKE PLAYOFFS (+124).
Arizona Diamondbacks win total
Over/Under: 83.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Arizona won 84 games in the regular season, and that was after a midseason collapse. At one point, it was 50-35 and leading the NL West in July. It collapsed for a month and a half, going 8-25 from July 1 to Aug. 11.
But its postseason run showed it was more like the 1st half of the season than the 2nd half.
Fangraphs projects it to win between 84 and 88 games, which is above the projected win total for this bet.
BET OVER 83.5 (-105).
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To win NL West Division
- Los Angeles Dodgers -600 (bet $600 to win $100)
- San Diego Padres +1100 (bet $100 to win $1,100)
- Arizona Diamondbacks (bet $100 to win $1,100)
- San Francisco Giants +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200)
- Colorado Rockies +20000 (bet $100 to win $20,000)
Even with Arizona’s season in 2023, its playoff series win over the Dodgers, and its roster and rotation improvements, this division is still run by the L.A.
The Dodgers have won the division 3 straight years and 11 of the last 12 seasons. They have won 100 or more Games in 3 straight seasons and 5 of the last 7. They added the best player in the planet in Shohei Ohtani.
Even after a World Series appearance, Arizona’s road back is through the Wild Card.
PASS.
To win National League
Odds: +1800 (bet $100 to win $1,800)
The Diamondbacks’ run to the World Series means you have to consider them. Five teams have shorter odds than they do. They only have 5.26% implied odds of winning the National League, but they did it a year ago and got better in the offseason.
That doesn’t guarantee anything, but it does make it at least worth considering.
Backing the DIAMONDBACKS (+1800) with a small wager is profitable enough with a slightly reasonable chance of it happening.
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