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Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 4-16-24 Picks

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Minnesota Twins (6-8) vs. Baltimore Orioles (9-6)
April 16, 2024 6:35 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles -179 / Minnesota Twins +151; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and the Baltimore Orioles meet Tuesday in MLB action from Oriole Park. Here’s a Twins vs Orioles prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

  • The Minnesota Twins recent form and player performance
  • The Baltimore Orioles recent form and player performance
  • Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Minnesota Twins
  • Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Baltimore Orioles
  • Recent betting trends in games played between the Twins and Orioles
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Twins vs Orioles game

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Twins played the Detroit Tigers over the weekend, winning two of four Games in that set. On Monday versus the Orioles, Minnesota fell behind quickly and never fully recovered in a 7-4 loss. Jose Miranda posted two RBI, three hits and a homer, while starter Louie Varland put up 5.0 innings, four earned and 11 hits.

For the Tuesday Game two starting pitcher role, the Twins will send out Chris Paddack. In his two starts this year Paddack has a 4.15 ERA without a decision. He’s got seven Ks in 8.2 innings. In his career Paddack is 22-21 with a 4.21 ERA overall.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

Over on the Orioles’ side, they took on the Milwaukee Brewers over the weekend and lost two of three Games. On Monday Baltimore put up 12 hits in the victory. Gunnar Henderson (two hits), Ryan O’Hearn (two runs; two hits) and Cedric Mullins (three RBI) each posted a homer along the way.

It’ll be Grayson Rodriguez in the starting pitcher role for the Orioles on Tuesday. Across his three starts in 2024 Rodriguez is 2-0 with a 2.50 ERA and 21 Ks in 18.0 innings. Rodriguez is 9-4 with a 4.11 ERA in 26 career Games.

Baltimore Orioles Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won seven of the last eight games between the Twins and Orioles.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against the Twins following a win.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last five games as favorites.
  • The Orioles have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Team Facts

  • The Twins have won five of their last six games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games following a road loss.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last six night games against American League opponents.
  • The Twins have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Twins vs Orioles Prediction

I’ll probably stay with the Orioles here. Rodriguez is doing well over his first three starts. In that trio he’s got just five earned in 18.0 total innings. Rodriguez is coming off 5.2 innings with two earned versus the Red Sox.

On Monday the Orioles had a good offensive showing. Five different players had multiple hits in the victory. The bullpen was a little rough when Keegan Akin was out there (0.1 innings; two earned) but otherwise did well. I like the O’s to keep it going in Game two.

Andrew's Free Pick: Baltimore Orioles -179

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