The Baltimore Orioles (67-46) and Toronto Blue Jays (51-61) begin a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Rogers Centre is set for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 6-4
The Orioles began their 10-game road trip by splitting a 4 game series in Cleveland over the weekend. They won Sunday 9-5 behind C Adley Rutschman’s 3 RBIs and home runs from SS Gunnar Henderson and 2B Jackson Holliday. Baltimore is 33-21 on the road and 61-52 against the spread (ATS).
Toronto comes home to face the AL East co-leading Orioles after going 2-5 on a road trip through Baltimore and New York (Yankees). The Blue Jays allowed 48 runs over the 7 Games away for a 6.9 runs-per-Game average. The Blue Jays are 26-28 at home and 53-59 ATS.
Orioles at Blue Jays projected starters
RHP Grayson Rodriguez vs. RHP Chris Bassitt
Rodriguez (13-4, 3.86 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 116 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER (4 R), 6 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 10-4 home victory vs. Blue Jays Wednesday
- 2024 road splits: 7-2, 4.42 ERA (57 IP, 28 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 10.7 K/9 in 10 starts
- Career vs. Blue Jays: 2-1, 3.68 (29 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 5 starts
- 2024 vs. Blue Jays: 2-0, 2.84 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 2 starts
Bassitt (8-10, 4.02 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.45 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 123 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 6-2 defeat at Orioles July 30
- 2024 home splits: 5-6, 4.24 ERA (68 IP, 32 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 in 12 starts
- Career vs. Orioles: 3-3, 5.45 ERA (39 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 9.5 K/9 in 7 starts, including 1 outing this season (July 30 loss mentioned above)
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Orioles at Blue Jays odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:38 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Orioles -142 (bet $142 to win $100) | Blue Jays +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Orioles -1.5 (+114) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-137)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -106 | U: -114)
Orioles at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 8, Blue Jays 5
Moneyline
PASS.
I like the Orioles (-142) to win this Game, but I’m not going to bet 1.42 units to win back 1. I’ll save my wager for the run line.
Run line/Against the spread
BET ORIOLES -1.5 (+114).
The Blue Jays are floundering. They’re in last place in the AL East, 15½ games back of the Orioles and Yankees, and 11½ games back in the Wild Card race. They also lost 3 of 4 to the Orioles at Camden Yards last week.
Rodriguez has the stuff of a top of the rotation starter but now he has help with the additions of LHP Trevor Rogers (acquired from Miami) and RHP Zach Eflin (acquired from Tampa Bay). Rodriguez went 4-1 in July and 4-1 in June. Toronto has talent in its lineup, but Rodriguez has contained them before.
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Over/Under
BET OVER 8.5 (-115).
I love the trends for this bet. The Over has hit in 4 of their last 5 head-to-head meetings. The Orioles have been Over in 5 straight Games. The Blue Jays have been Over in 3 of their last 4.
The Over has hit in Rodriguez’s last 3 starts, The Over has hit in 3 of Bassitt’s last 4 starts. There is just too much to ignore. OVER 8.5 (-115) is the way to go.
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