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Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 7-7-24 Picks

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Philadelphia Phillies (58-30) vs. Atlanta Braves (47-39)
July 7, 2024 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -200 / Philadelphia Phillies +167; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves meet Sunday in MLB action from Truist Park. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

In their last series the Phillies played the Chicago Cubs. Philadelphia won the first two installments 6-4 and 5-3 before a 10-2 loss Thursday. Philly bounced back with an 8-6 win over the Braves. In Game two Philadelphia could only score in the third inning during a 5-1 loss. Starter Ranger Suarez gave up five earned in 5.0 innings on six hits and two walks.

Michael Mercado will take the mound for the start on Sunday for the Phillies. This year Mercado is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA in the first two Games of his career (one start).

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

Over on the Braves’ side, they played three games versus the San Francisco Giants this past week. Atlanta won 3-1 in the Wednesday matchup but otherwise took losses 5-3 and 4-2. In the Saturday game the Braves jumped out to a 3-0 lead after one inning and cruised the rest of the way. Spencer Schwellenbach lasted 6.0 innings with one earned on seven hits and no walks in the starter slot.

It’ll be Reynaldo Lopez in the starter role for the Braves on Sunday. This year Lopez is 6-2 with a 1.83 ERA in 15 starts. Lopez is 45-51 with a 4.04 ERA in 256 games (112 starts).

Braves vs Phillies Pick Injury Notes

Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber (groin) is expected to be activated ahead of Tuesday’s Game.

Braves RP Ray Kerr will require Tommy John surgery.

Total Runs Facts

  • Nine of the Braves’ last 10 games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Phillies’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last four games as favorites against the Phillies.
  • Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL opponents.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 23 home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored a run in each of his last six appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Ozzie Albies has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last four games against the Phillies.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 16 home appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Braves’ last nine day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • David Dahl has hit a home run in four of his five previous appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances.
  • Bryce Harper has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one Single in each of the Phillies’ last seven games as underdogs against the Braves.
  • Bryce Harper has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in five of the Phillies’ last six road games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Phillies’ last six games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’ll stay with Atlanta. Lopez isn’t pitching too badly lately. In his last three starts combined Lopez is 2-0 with four earned runs in 14.1 innings total. As for Mercado, he’s coming off a good outing with 5.0 innings and one earned run in a win over the Cubs.

On Saturday the Braves got two hits apiece from Jarred Kelenic, Ozzie Albies and Marcell Ozuna, but no one else had a hit. It was a strange offensive evening but everything worked out well. It’d be nice to see Atlanta spread the wealth at the plate a little more Sunday, but I think they’ll be fine regardless.

Andrew's Free Pick: Atlanta Braves -200

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