MLB

Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 8-6-24 MLB Picks

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1w ago

Aug 07, 2024 / 4583 Views

Milwaukee Brewers (62-49) vs. Atlanta Braves (60-51)
August 6, 2024 7:20 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -135 / Milwaukee Brewers +115; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Milwaukee Brewers and Atlanta Braves meet Tuesday in MLB Game 1 action at Truist Park. Here’s a Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction. This article will include a Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Pick.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 62-49 on the year after playing the Braves and Nationals. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 15 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 Games. The Milwaukee Brewers have won 5 of their last 6 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 119 hits and 59 RBI, while Willy Adames and Brice Turang have combined for 205 hits and 116 RBI.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 60-51 on the year after playing the Brewers and Marlins. The Atlanta Braves have scored 8 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 Games. The Atlanta Braves have won 6 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Marcell Ozuna leads the Atlanta Braves with 124 hits and 86 RBI, while Austin Riley and Ozzie Albies have combined for 190 hits and 93 RBI.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Pick Matchup

Colin Rea gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 9-3 with a 3.59 ERA and 90 strikeouts this season. Rea has allowed 24 hits and 11 runs in his last 28 innings. Rea has a 3.48 ERA and .261 allowed batting average in 51.2 road innings. Rea is 1-0 with a 4.70 ERA and 23 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Bryce Elder gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 2-4 with a 5.67 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. Elder has allowed 17 hits and 10 runs in his last 16.1 innings. Elder has a 6.30 ERA and .349 allowed batting average in 20 home innings. Elder is 2-0 with a 1.86 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will Beat the Braves

The Brewers have won each of their last five games as road underdogs.
The Braves have lost each of their last five games as favorites following a loss.
The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against NL Central opponents.
The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last five games as road underdogs.
The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
The Braves have lost the first inning in each of their last three games as favorites against NL Central opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in each of the Braves’ last three home games against the Brewers.
Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine home appearances against NL Central opponents.
Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in 17 of his last 19 home appearances against NL opponents.
Michael Harris has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 18 appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in each of his 12 previous home appearances against the Brewers.
Marcell Ozuna ranks T3rd in the league in Home Runs (32) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

William Contreras has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances against NL East opponents at Truist Park.
Jackson Chourio has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Brewers’ last five games as underdogs.
Jackson Chourio has scored at least one run in each of the Brewers’ last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
William Contreras has recorded a Single in each of the Brewers’ last nine Tuesday games as underdogs.
Willy Adames has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 10 games as road underdogs.
Christian Yelich has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Gary Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Braves.
Brice Turang ranks T2nd in the league in Steals (32) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (103).
The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (412).
The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.330).
The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (141).

Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

The Atlanta Braves just took two of three from the Brewers on the road and now get them at home. Still, this line is nuts. You could argue the Brewers are the better team at this very moment, and I think it’s fair to say Colin Rea has been better than Bryce Elder. Elder has been a mess for much of the season, and almost all of his struggles have come at home. The Brewers and the plus money has to be one of the better value plays on Tuesday’s MLB card.