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Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction 8-4-24 MLB Picks

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Miami Marlins (40-70) vs. Atlanta Braves (60-49)
August 4, 2024 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -310 / Miami Marlins +255; Over/Under: -
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The Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves meet Sunday in MLB action from Truist Park. Here’s a Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction. This will be the final installment in a four-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

In their last series the Marlins took on the Tampa Bay Rays. Miami lost 9-3 in the opener of that set but evened it up with a 6-2 Wednesday win. After a losses 4-2 and 5-3 to the Braves, on Saturday Miami eked out a 4-3 win. Starter Kyle Tyler put up 2.2 innings and three earned runs.

In the starter slot for Sunday’s finale the Marlins are going with Edward Cabrera. This year Cabrera is 1-3 with a 6.65 ERA in 10 starts. Cabrera is 14-17 with a 4.48 ERA in 53 Games (51 starts).

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

Over on the Braves’ side, they played the Milwaukee Brewers this past week. Atlanta lost 8-3 on Monday but ended up winning the set with victories 5-1 and 6-2 from there. On Saturday the Braves held a 3-1 lead going into the fifth but faltered in a loss. Grant Holmes went 4.2 innings in the start with three earned runs.

As starter for Sunday’s Game the Braves are sending out Max Fried. In 2024 Fried is 7-5 with a 3.08 ERA in 18 starts. Over 157 career Games (140 starts) Fried is 69-31 with a 3.04 ERA.

Marlins vs Braves Pick Injury Notes

Braves SP Reynaldo Lopez (forearm) is still considered day-to-day.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 21 appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Orlando Arcia has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four games against NL East opponents.
  • Max Fried has recorded five or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances at Truist Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Sean Murphy has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Max Fried has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 appearances at Truist Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Matt Olson has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last four day games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Edward Cabrera has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
  • Jake Burger has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances against the Braves at Truist Park.
  • Edward Cabrera has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded a Single in three of the Marlins’ last four games.
  • Jake Burger has scored at least one run in eight of his 10 previous appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
  • Jake Burger has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against the Braves at Truist Park.
  • Jake Burger has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins’ last eight games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction

I might take a stab on the Marlins as a value play here. Cabrera hasn’t been pitching too badly over his last trio, even though he doesn’t have a decision to show for it. In that time Cabrera has posted 15.0 innings with six earned runs on 11 hits and 11 walks. If he can keep the free passes in check, Cabrera could start things off well here.

On Saturday the Marlins did a good job at coming back from their early deficit. Miami did use a lot of bullpen arms though, so they’ll need to be economical with the pitching Sunday. Still, it’s probably worth trying.

Andrew's Free Pick: Miami Marlins +255

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