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Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction 8-3-24 MLB Picks

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Miami Marlins (40-69) vs. Atlanta Braves (59-49)
August 3, 2024 7:20 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -210 / Miami Marlins +190; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves meet Saturday in MLB action from Truist Park. Here’s a Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction. This will be the third installment in a four-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Marlins played a couple of games versus the Tampa Bay Rays this week. Miami lost 9-3 in the Tuesday matchup then recovered for a 6-2 win in game two. After a 4-2 loss to the Braves on Thursday, in game two the Marlins blew a 3-0 lead and ultimately fell 5-3. Starter Valente Bellozo finished with 5.0 innings and two earned runs.

As starter for Saturday the Marlins will send out Kyle Tyler. This year Tyler is 0-2 with a 4.74 ERA in six Games (five starts). Over 13 career Games (five starts) Tyler is 1-2 with a 3.73 ERA.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

Over on the Braves’ side, they took on the Milwaukee Brewers in their last set. Atlanta lost 8-3 in the opener but then came back for wins 5-1 and 6-2 in the next pair. In Friday’s matchup the Braves were out-hit 8-5 in the win. Spencer SchwelleNBAch managed 7.0 innings in the start with three earned runs and 10 Ks.

In the starter slot for Saturday the Braves will go with Grant Holmes. This year in the first 11 Games (one start) of his career, Holmes has a 2.54 ERA without a decision.

Marlins vs Braves Pick Injury Notes

Marlins SP Braxton Garrett (forearm) has begun playing catch.

Braves SP Max Fried (forearm) could rejoin the rotation Sunday.

Total Runs Facts

  • Fourteen of the Braves’ last 15 home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the Marlins’ last 10 night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five night games at Truist Park.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Orlando Arcia has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last three games against NL East opponents.
  • Marcell Ozuna has scored at least one run in eight of the Braves’ last nine night games.
  • Orlando Arcia has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last four games against NL East opponents.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 21 home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jake Burger has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances against the Braves.
  • Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 10 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jake Burger has recorded at least one Single in four of the Marlins’ last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jake Burger has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins’ last 10 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jake Burger has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against the Braves.
  • Jake Burger has scored a run in four of the Marlins’ last five night games.

Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction

I’ll probably stay with the Braves. Also probably not touching it due to the hefty line. Tyler might do okay here, but Atlanta should have some opportunities. In his last pair of starts combined, Tyler is 0-1 with 8.2 innings and seven earned runs on 16 hits and four walks.

On Friday the Braves had a big eighth inning (three runs) and a big performance from Orlando Arcia (two RBI; homer). Otherwise there wasn’t much going on offensively. It’d be nice to see Atlanta get the bats going a little better Saturday.

Andrew's Free Pick: Atlanta Braves -210

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