The Atlanta Braves (19-7) and Seattle Mariners (15-13) open a 3-game interleague series Monday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Braves vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Braves won 2-1 in 2023 in Atlanta
The Braves took 2 of 3 games over the weekend against the Cleveland Guardians in a battle of 1st-place teams. Now, Atlanta faces a 2nd straight interleague series against another 1st-place team, as the Mariners lead the AL West by a half-game.
Atlanta has won 5 of the past 6 games, and 11 of the past 13 outings since April 14. The Under has cashed in 6 in a row, and 10 of the past 12 contests, with Atlanta pitching conceding 4 or fewer runs in 6 straight, and 11 of the previous 12 outings.
Seattle has won 4 consecutive series, including each of the past 3 against interleague opponents. The Mariners won 2 of 3 at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks, while taking 2 of 3 at Colorado April 20-22, while sweeping the Cincinnati Reds at home April 15-17.
The M’s are 9-3 in the past 12 games, with the Under cashing in 6 straight outings, and 16 of the previous 18 contests.
Braves at Mariners projected starters
LHP Max Fried vs. RHP Bryce Miller
Fried (2-0, 4.97 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 25 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 9 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K (92 pitches) in 5-0 home victory vs. Miami Marlins Tuesday
- 2023 road splits: 1-0, 5.25 ERA, 12 IP, 7 ER, 13 H, 1 HR, 8 BB, 7 K, .283 opponents’ batting average (OBA) and 1.75 WHIP in 3 starts
Miller (3-2, 2.22 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 28 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 HR, 4 BB, 5 K in 5-1 setback at Texas Rangers Wednesday
- 2024 home splits: 2-1, 2.60 ERA, 17 1/3 IP, 6 R, 5 ER, 10 H, 3 HR, 6 BB, 17 K in 3 starts
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Braves at Mariners odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:58 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Braves -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Mariners +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Braves -1.5 (+110) | Mariners +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Braves at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 5, Braves 4
Moneyline
The MARINERS (+130) are worth a look in this interleague series opener, especially as short ‘dogs at home.
The Braves (-155) just played Sunday at home against Cleveland, then hopped the charter cross-country to Seattle’s Boeing Field, arriving at 11:05 p.m. ET after the 5-plus-hour flight. The Mariners were home sleeping in their own beds, an advantage that shouldn’t be discounted.
Yes, Fried dominated the Marlins last time out, but he has struggled on the road, and he will be facing a 1st-place team to boot.
Run line/Against the spread
The MARINERS +1.5 (-135) aren’t priced out of line, if you prefer to bet the run line rather than the moneyline. Obviously don’t do both as that’s not what we’re suggesting. But, if you’re a little more conservative, and you want some wiggle room in the event of a close game, or you’re not comfortable betting against the Braves, this is the next best option.
Over/Under
OVER 7 (-115) is a solid play in this home opener.
While Fried was lights out last time against the Marlins, chopping nearly 3 runs off of his ERA from 7.71 to 4.97, he has struggled this season, allowing 3 or more earned runs in 3 of his first 4 outings, including 2 of 3 road starts.
Miller has had some pretty good numbers overall, but he didn’t go long against the defending champ Texas Rangers, while serving up a pair of homers at T-Mobile Park last time out.
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