Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Prediction 8-19-24 Tennis Picks

Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula meet Monday in the Tennis 2024 Cincinnati Open Final. Here’s a Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Prediction. This article will include a Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Pick.

Aryna Sabalenka Betting Preview

Aryna Sabalenka is coming off a straight set win over Iga Swiatek that took 18 Games to decide. In the victory, Sabalenka won 67 percent of her first serve points and 63 percent of her second serve points. Sabalenka won 60 percent of her total service points and converted on 5 of her 15 break points. Sabalenka got 52 percent of her first serves in play and hit 5 aces. Sabalenka has yet to drop a set this tournament, and her last 7 wins have been decided in straight sets. Sabalenka looks to win her second title of the year and her 15th title of her career. Sabalenka is 1-3 in final appearances for the year and 14-14 in final appearances overall. Sabalenka is 5-2 in final trips in a WTA 1000 and 12-6 in final trips on hard court. Sabalenka has won 8 of her last 10 matches on hard court.

Jessica Pegula Betting Preview

Jessica Pegula is coming off a 3 set win over Paula Badosa that took 26 Games to decide. In the victory, Pegula won 67 percent of her first serve points and 49 percent of her second serve points. Pegula won 60 percent of her total service points and converted on 5 of her 11 break points. Pegula got 62 percent of her first serves in play and hit 5 aces. Pegula has played 6 sets and about 5 hours of Tennis in her last two matches, so it will be interesting to see how much she has left in the tank. Pegula looks to win her third title of the year and her seventh title of her career. Pegula is 2-0 in final appearances this year and 6-6 in final appearances for her career. Pegula is 3-1 in final trips in a WTA 1000 and 5-4 in final trips on hard court. Pegula has won 8 straight matches on hard court.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula H2H

Sabalenka is 4-2 against Pegula, which includes wins in 4 of the last 5 meetings. The last meeting was won by Pegula last year in Cancun, which the American won in 19 games. The last five meetings were decided in straight sets. The only match to go the distance was the first match in 2020 Cincinnati, which Pegula won.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Prediction

Pegula is capable of winning this match, obviously, and she’ll have the home crowd behind her, which helps. The problem is, Pegula has way too many drop-offs in her Game and is hard to trust. Pegula will get off to a fiery start and then lose 3 or 4 Games in a row. It’s why Pegula has found herself in back to back 3 set matches. Against a more consistent and highly motivated player like Sabalenka, those drops in her Game would lead to a quick day at the office. Sabalenka should also have a lot of success against Pegula’s second serve.

I like Sabalenka to win her second title of the year, and I’ll back her in straight sets to shave down the juice.