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Washington Nationals vs NY Mets Prediction 6-5-24 Picks

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NY Mets (25-35) vs. Washington Nationals (27-32)
June 5, 2024 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Nationals +130 / NY Mets -154; Over/Under: +9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Mets and the Washington Nationals meet Wednesday in MLB action from Nationals Park. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs NY Mets Prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The Mets played the Arizona Diamondbacks over the weekend. New York managed wins in the first pair of that quartet, but then fell 10-5 Saturday and 5-4 Sunday to split the series. After an 8-7 win over Washington on Monday, in Game two the Mets powered out a 6-3 victory. Starter David Peterson put up 6.2 innings with two earned runs on five hits and two walks.

As starter for Wednesday’s game the Mets will go with Luis Severino. This year Severino is 3-2 with a 3.52 ERA and 54 Ks in 64.0 innings over 11 starts. Severino is 57-39 with a 3.76 ERA in 152 career games (136 starts).

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

Over on the Nationals’ side, they took on the Cleveland Guardians in their last set. Washington took losses 7-1 Friday and 3-2 in Game two before a Sunday victory 5-2 to stave off the sweep. On Tuesday the Nationals were out-hit 13-6 in the loss. DJ Herz managed 4.0 innings with four earned on seven hits and two walks as starter.

It’ll be Patrick Corbin in the starting pitcher role for the Nationals on Wednesday. This season so far Corbin is 1-6 with a 5.83 ERA in 12 Games. He’s got 41 Ks in 66.1 innings. Corbin is 98-124 with a 4.45 ERA in 322 Games (304 starts).

Mets vs Nationals Injury Notes

Mets catcher Francisco Alvarez (thumb) won’t join the team in London this weekend but could be ready to return by June 11.

Total Runs Facts

  • Nine of the Mets’ last 10 road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Nationals’ last four day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last seven home games against NL East opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Joey Gallo has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Patrick Corbin has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against the Mets.
  • Joey Gallo has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Nationals’ last four home games.
  • Keibert Ruiz has scored a run in each of his last four appearances in day games.
  • Patrick Corbin has recorded four or more strikeouts in 13 of his 16 previous appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • CJ Abrams has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances with the Nationals as home underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Jesse Winker has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last eight games against NL East opponents.
  • Jesse Winker has recorded at least one total base in each of the Nationals’ last eight games against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Pete Alonso has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two games as favorites.
  • Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Double in five of the Mets’ last six games as favorites.
  • Francisco Lindor has recorded two or more hits in each of the Mets’ last five games as favorites against the Nationals.
  • Harrison Bader has recorded two RBIs in each of the Mets’ last four games against NL East opponents.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Brandon Nimmo has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with the Mets as road favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Luis Severino has recorded five or more strikeouts in 24 of his last 30 appearances in day games.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight road appearances against NL opponents.

Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction

I’ll stick with the Mets. Severino has been a little shaky over his last handful of starts, but this is a good opportunity to get back on track. In two of his last three outings, Severino has given up nine earned in 12.0 innings total. In the other start he’s got just one earned in 7.0 frames. As for Corbin, he’s been okay with five earned in his last 12.0 innings but he’s 0-1 in that time.

On Tuesday the Mets had a couple of big innings to put the game essentially out of reach. The offense was great; four different players had multiple hits. Another good effort like that on Wednesday and New York will be sitting pretty.

Andrew's Free Pick: New York Mets -154

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