Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Player Prop Picks 11-14-24 Picks

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Player Prop Picks 11-14-24

This is an interesting West Coast matchup between the Mavericks & Jazz. The Mavericks are led by Luka Dončić, who’s averaging 28.5 points, 8.1 rebounds, and 7.9 assists per Game, and Kyrie Irving, who adds another 25.2 points per Game. Despite recent road losses to the Suns and Warriors, the Mavericks were in the NBA finals last season and are still a prominent team in this league. They have shown solid offensive consistency, scoring 114.4 points per Game while allowing 111 points on average.

The Jazz, on the other hand, are struggling to find consistency and rank near the bottom of the West with a 2-8 record. They are heavily reliant on Lauri Markkanen and Keyonte George to generate offense, especially with center Walker Kessler out due to injury. This game will test Utah’s ability to compete against a team with superior scoring depth and efficiency, particularly if Dallas can capitalize on their three-point shooting and ball movement. If Utah can tighten its defense and limit turnovers, they might be able to exploit any defensive lapses by Dallas, which has struggled slightly on that end of the court.

Lauri Markkanen Over 7.5 Rebounds

Lauri Markkanen has been one of the Jazz’s leading rebounders over the last couple of seasons. He started this season hot averaging 8.5 rebounds per game through his first 4 games but since then has been quiet. Over his last 3 games, we saw him have a 7 rebound game against the Bucks, a 6 rebound game against the Spurs, and only collected 2 rebounds in a tough game against the Suns.

Even though Markkanen has been struggling when it comes to a rebounding perspective I like him to bounce back in this game. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 56.3 rebounds per game to opposing teams which is the 3rd most in the league. It also looks like Walker Kessler will be out again for this game. Kessler is this Jazz team’s leading rebounder, and Markkanen will need to compensate for the missing link. Buy low on Markkanen’s rebounds. 

Luka Doncic Over 2.5 Three Pointers

Luka Doncic continues to be a solid three-point shooting option for the Dallas Mavericks. He is averaging about 9.9 three-point attempts per Game, connecting on approximately 32.1% of those attempts. In individual Games, his three-point shooting percentage has fluctuated, with performances ranging from under 20% in some matchups to above 40% in others, showing variability but a consistent volume that reflects his role as a primary scoring option.

Taking the under in this spot isn’t the faint of heart since the Jazz are susceptible to giving up a lot of threes. This is a spot I want to take the under on Luka’s threes though. We’ve seen him go under this number of 2.5 in 2 straight Games. With the addition of Klay Thompson, it reduces the amount of three-pointers Luka needs to take. We saw Klay Thompson make 6 three-pointers in the Mavericks last Game against the Warriors. If the Mavericks are getting that type of production from Klay I think we continue to see fewer shots from Luka beyond the arc. 

Kyrie Irving Over 4.5 Assists

Kyrie Irving has been a floor general this season. He’s averaging 4.8 assists per Game for the Dallas Mavericks, demonstrating his playmaking ability alongside his scoring. His assist numbers vary somewhat based on Game context, but he remains a key distributor in addition to his scoring duties.

Taking the over on Kyire’s assists has been a money maker for me so far this season. We’ve seen him get over this number of 4.5 in 7 of his last 10 games. Having scores like Luka Doncic and Klay Thompson on your team makes it that much easier to rack up assists. He has a favorable matchup against the Jazz who’ve been getting carved up by point guards this season. They’re allowing 28.8 assists per game to opposing teams which is the 4th most in the league. I like Kyrie to have a nice night dishing the rock on Thursday.