The Toronto Blue Jays (4-4) take on the New York Yankees (6-2) at Yankee Stadium Saturday night. First pitch in the Bronx is scheduled for 7:06 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Blue Jays lead 1-0.
Toronto defeated New York 3-0 on Friday afternoon, cashing as a (+136) road underdog. SS Ernie Clement came off the bench to hit the 1st home run of the season at Yankee Stadium in the 7th inning, which broke the scoreless tie.
The Yankees have now lost 2 of 3 after starting their season 5-0. CF Aaron Judge has just 5 hits in 30 ABs (.167 AVG) and DH Giancarlo Stanton has struck out 13 times in 24 ABs (.125 AVG).
Blue Jays at Yankees projected starters
RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Clarke Schmidt
Gausman (0-0, 2.08 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 0.46 WHIP, 0.00 BB/9 and 12.46 K/9 through 4.1 IP.
- Gausman was on a pitch count in his 1st start vs. TB after missing part of spring training with shoulder fatigue.
- The 33-year-old has made the most starts vs. the Yankees (25) compared to all other MLB teams. He is 10-7 with a 3.01 ERA in 158.1 IP.
Schmidt (0-0, 5.06 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 0.00 BB/9 and 8.44 K/9 through 5.1 IP.
- Schmidt sports a 3.97 career ERA in the Bronx compared to a 4.78 ERA on the road.
- The 28-year-old has never defeated Toronto in 5 career starts (0-3), and his 4 HRs surrendered vs. the Blue Jays are the highest amongst all MLB teams.
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Blue Jays at Yankees odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL): Blue Jays -1.5 (+168) | Yankees +1.5 (-205)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Blue Jays at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 4, Blue Jays 3
Moneyline
BET YANKEES (-120).
The Jays top sluggers, 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr., OF George Springer and SS Bo Bichette all entering Saturday with a sub-.175 batting average. While Judge and Stanton have struggled, RF Juan Soto has delivered early on in his career in Pinstripes. He recently saw his 39 game on-base streak snapped dating back to last season, and in a limited sample size the 25-year-old has a .625 OBP off Gausman. Soto will deliver his first hit (or hits) as a Yankee in the Bronx and help his team earn the win.
Run line
PASS.
With all that juice to lay I would not bet Yankees +1.5 by itself, but I certainly understand including in a parlay. If you believe the Rays bounce back against the Rockies, pairing Tampa Bay ML (-144) with the Yanks RL (-205) pays out roughly +152.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 7.5 (-114).
The Yankees still feature a top 5 bullpen ERA (.201), although they’ll need relievers like LHP Caleb Ferguson, RHP Nick Burdi (who threw 2 wild pitches Friday) and RHP Dennis Santana to step up in the wake of RHP Jonathan Loaisiga hitting the 60-day IL. Luckily, the Yanks pen will take on a lukewarm Jays lineup on a cold night in New York. Expect Gausman and Schmidt to both pitch effectively while runs will be at a premium.
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