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Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 8-18-24 MLB Picks

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Minnesota Twins (69-53) vs. Texas Rangers (56-67)
August 18, 2024 2:35 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Rangers +103 / Minnesota Twins -122; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and the Texas Rangers meet Sunday in MLB action from Globe Life Field. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins prediction. This will be the final installment in a four-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Rangers vs Twins pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

In their last series, the Twins played the Kansas City Royals. Minnesota won the first two Games of that set 8-3 and 13-3 before a 4-1 loss Wednesday. The Twins won the first two versus the Rangers, then on Saturday Minnesota powered out a 5-2 win.

Starter for the finale will be the Twins’ Pablo Lopez. So far this year, Lopez is 11-8 with a 4.67 ERA in 24 starts. Lopez is 50-47 with a 3.99 ERA in 150 starts over his career.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

Over on the Rangers’ side, they took on the Boston Red Sox in their last set. Texas lost 5-4 and 9-4 in the first two Games before a 9-7 win in the finale. On Saturday, the Rangers blew a 2-1 lead in the eighth inning.

In the starter slot for the Rangers on Sunday will be Tyler Mahle. So far, Mahle is 0-1 with a 2.79 ERA over his two starts. In 125 career Games (124 starts) Mahle is 33-42 with a 4.28 ERA.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Rangers’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Twins’ last four games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last four day games against AL Central opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last three games as favorites.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Rangers’ last six games as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Carson Kelly has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Marcus Semien has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rangers’ last 14 home games against AL Central opponents.
  • Corey Seager has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances with the Rangers as underdogs against the Twins.
  • Tyler Mahle has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 12 Sunday appearances.
  • Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last 14 home games against AL Central opponents.
  • Corey Seager has hit a home run in three of his last five home appearances after playing the previous day.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Pablo Lopez has recorded a win in each of his last five road appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded a Double in each of his last five appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Manuel Margot has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Willi Castro has recorded at least one total base in each of the Twins’ last 10 games as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Pablo Lopez has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Willi Castro has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 10 games as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Ryan Jeffers has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances at Globe Life Field against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite against the Rangers.

Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Twins. Lopez had a shaky start on August 6 versus the Cubs, posting four earned in 5.0 innings during a loss. In the other two of his last three starts, however, Lopez is 2-0 with a combined four earned in 12.0 frames. As for Mahle, he’s coming off 4.2 innings and two earned in a no-decision versus Boston.

On Saturday the Twins had a pretty modest night at the plate, but the bullpen came through with 4.0 innings, no earned, two hits and no walks. I like Minnesota to bag another win Sunday to keep their run going.

Andrew's Free Pick: Minnesota Twins -122

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