The Texas Rangers (11-11) take on the Atlanta Braves (14-5) on Sunday Night Baseball in the finale 3-Game set at Truist Park at 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Braves lead 2-0
The Rangers have dropped the 1st 2 in the series by 8-3 and 5-2 scores. They are now 6-6 on the road and 2-3 against NL teams. OF Adolis Garcia is red-hot, hitting .317 with 5 HRs and 20 RBIs on the young season. The Rangers have yet to open things up offensively, ranking tied for 11th with 4.9 runs per game (RPG) and tied for 19th with 19 homers.
The Braves, however, lead the bigs with 6.4 RPG, a .290 BA, .360 OBP, .486 SLG and .846 OPS. They’re 8-2 in their last 10 and 6-2 at home thus far. The Braves have scored 5+ runs in 8 of 10, and in the only 2 they did not, they lost. DH Marcell Ozuna continues to punish the baseball, hitting .338 with 8 HRs and 24 RBIs.
Rangers at Braves projected starters
RHP Michael Lorenzen vs. RHP Darius Vines
Lorenzen (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 3 H and 5 BB while fanning 4 in 5 IP in a win over the Detroit Tigers Monday.
- Last start vs. Braves: Win, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K on Sept. 11
- 2 career starts vs. ATL: 1-1, 8.18 ERA, 1.64 WHIP, 6 K in 11 IP
Vines (0-0, 1.93 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 1 ER on 4 H, 3 BB and 4 K in 4 2/3 IP in a no-decision against the Houston Astros Monday.
- 3 career MLB starts: 1-0, 2.70 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 14 K in 16 2/3 IP
- 0-0 with a 3.75 ERA, 0.83 WHIP and 11 K in 12 IP in 2 GS at Gwinnett (AAA)
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Rangers at Braves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:36 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rangers +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Braves -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-135) | Braves -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Rangers at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 5, Braves 4
Moneyline
I love the value on the Rangers here, who have the advantage on the bump and are trying to stave off being swept. The Braves have a rookie on the mound, whose fastball is only around 90 mph. That’s a great recipe to awaken the RANGERS +140.
Run line/Against the spread
The Rangers’ bullpen has struggled with a 5.05 ERA in the early going. Couple that with the silent bats, and I’m going to avoid the RL altogether.
PASS.
Over/Under
It’s slated to be a chilly, 57 degrees, but the wind is blowing out to center at 9 mph. The Over and Under have each hit in this series, and this is the largest total in the slate.
I like the UNDER 10 (-115) here.
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