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Tennessee vs Florida Prediction 10-12-24 College Football Picks

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Florida Gators (3-2) vs. Tennessee Volunteers (4-1)
October 12, 2024 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Tennessee Volunteers -15.5 / Florida Gators +15.5; Over/Under: +55.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Florida Gators and Tennessee Volunteers meet Saturday in week 7 college Football action at Neyland Stadium. Here’s a Tennessee vs Florida Prediction. This article will include a Tennessee vs Florida Pick.

Florida Gators Betting Preview

The Florida Gators beat Mississippi State and UCF, and they play Kentucky next. The Florida Gators have lost 6 of their last 8 road Games. DJ Lagway is completing 69.1 percent of his passes for 667 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Elijah Badger and Chimere Dike have combined for 623 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Eugene Wilson III has 13 receptions. The Florida Gators ground Game is averaging 142.6 yards per contest, and Montrell Johnson Jr. leads the way with 288 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Florida is allowing 24.4 points and 395 yards per Game. Grayson Howard leads the Florida Gators with 24 tackles, Tyreak Sapp has 2.5 sacks and Shemar James has 1 interception.

Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview

The Tennessee Volunteers beat Oklahoma, lost to Arkansas and plays Alabama next. Tennessee has won 17 of its last 18 home Games. Nico Iamaleava is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 1,050 yards, 7 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Dont’e Thornton Jr. and Bru McCoy have combined for 493 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Chris Brazzell II has 13 receptions.

The Tennessee Volunteers ground Game is averaging 267.2 yards per contest, and Dylan Sampson leads the way with 587 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, Tennessee is allowing 9.4 points and 227.6 yards per Game. Keenan Pili leads the Tennessee Volunteers with 28 tackles, Tyre West has 2 sacks and Will Brooks has 1 interception.

Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win

  • Tennessee has won each of its last 16 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Neyland Stadium.
  • Florida has lost 11 of its last 12 games against AP-ranked teams.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in seven of Tennessee’s last eight games at Neyland Stadium.
  • Florida has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games as an underdog.
  • Tennessee has won the first half in seven of its last nine home games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Florida’s last nine games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of Tennessee’s last four home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Tennessee ranks 1st among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (29.8).
  • Tennessee ranks 1st among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (1.8).
  • Florida ranks T117th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (8.8).
  • Florida ranks T117th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (118).

Tennessee vs Florida Prediction

The Tennessee Volunteers are the better team and could blow the doors off if things go well, and they’re also 10-4 ATS in their last 14 Games as a double-digit favorite. However, Tennessee didn’t look great against Arkansas, and the offense hasn’t looked great in its last two Games overall. Florida is coming off back to back wins and the offense has shown improvement. Florida has also owned Tennessee over the last couple of decades, and that includes wins in 8 of the last 10 meetings. The underdog has covered 5 of the last 9 Games between Tennessee and Florida. Give me the points in this SEC rivalry.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Florida Gators +15.5

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