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Tampa Bay Rays vs NY Yankees Prediction 5-11-24 Picks

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NY Yankees (25-14) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (19-19)
May 11, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Rays +107 / NY Yankees -127; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Tampa Bay Rays vs NY Yankees Prediction for this MLB showdown on Saturday, May 11th at Tropicana Field. 

Yankees Pitching Locks Down 

The Yankees pitching was impressive, not giving up any runs, and that was enough for the 2-0 victory. Clarke Schmidt went 6.2 innings, giving up five hits and zero runs. The Yankees are averaging 4.82 runs, while their pitching is giving up 3.46 runs per Game. The offense is ranked 11th, while the pitching is ranked 2nd. They currently have a run differential of 1.359 which is 4th in the league.

Soto Playing like an MVP

Juan Soto is having a strong season, hitting nine home runs and driving in 33 RBIs. Getting the start for the Yankees will be Nestor Cortes, who sits with a 1-3 record and an ERA of 3.72. In his last start against the Detroit Tigers, he went 6.1 innings giving up three hits and two runs. 

Rays Offense Looks to Bounce Back

The Rays haven’t played that well this season, and they struggled with the offense on Friday. The pitching wasn’t bad, giving up only two runs, but the offense couldn’t get anything going. The Rays are averaging 4.05 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.87 runs per Game. The offense is ranked 20th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 25th. Isaac Paredes has hit eight home runs and driven in 20 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Rays will be Zach Littell who sits with a 1-2 record and an ERA of 3.00. In his last start against the New York Mets, he went six innings, giving up six hits and one run. Two starts ago against the Chicago White Sox he went six innings giving up eight hits and two runs. 

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

  • The Rays have won each of their last eight day games against the Yankees at Tropicana Field following a loss.
  • The Yankees have lost each of their last five games as road favorites against the Rays following a road win.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as road favorites against the Rays following a road win.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against the Yankees following a home loss.
  • The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last three home day games.

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Yankees have won each of their last seven Saturday road games.
  • The Rays have lost four of their last five games against AL East opponents.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line each of their last seven Saturday games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four day games.

Tampa Bay Rays vs NY Yankees Prediction

Runs are going to be hard to come by in this Game. Cortes sits with an ERA of 3.72 while Littell sits with an ERA of 3.00. Both of these offenses are going to have some major issues getting going, and that will be the difference here. The Rays and Yankees are both going to fail to score four runs, and that will be the difference here. Back the under. This is one of the top plays on the board. 


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