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Tampa Bay Rays vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 8-18-24 MLB Picks

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Arizona Diamondbacks (69-54) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (60-61)
August 18, 2024 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Rays -111 / Arizona Diamondbacks -106; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Tampa Bay Rays meet Sunday in MLB action from Tropicana Field. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs Arizona Diamondbacks prediction. This will be the last installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Tampa Bay Rays vs Arizona Diamondbacks pick.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

In their last set the Diamondbacks took on the Colorado Rockies. Arizona notched a sweep in that set with wins 5-4, 4-3 and 11-4. After a 5-4 loss to the Rays in their opener, on Saturday Arizona took a 6-1 loss. Starter Zac Gallen finished with 5.0 innings and four earned runs.

Merrill Kelly will start for the Diamondbacks on Sunday. This year Kelly is 3-0 with a 2.43 ERA in five starts. Kelly is 51-43 with a 3.75 ERA in 132 career starts.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

Over on the Rays’ side, they played the Houston Astros this past week. Tampa Bay struggled in that matchup with losses 6-1, 3-2 and 2-1 for a sweep. On Saturday the Rays jumped out to a 4-0 lead after two innings on the way to the victory. Starting pitcher Jeffrey Springs had a good appearance on 5.0 innings and one earned run.

Starter for the finale will be Tampa Bay’s Taj Bradley. This season so far Bradley is 6-7 with a 3.49 ERA in 17 starts. Bradley is 11-15 over his career with a 4.59 ERA in 40 career Games (38 starts).

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Diamondbacks’ last nine day games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Rays’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last seven games at Tropicana Field.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last seven games against National League opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rays’ last four day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yandy Diaz has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against the Diamondbacks after playing the previous day.
  • Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded a Double in four of the Rays’ last five home games against the Diamondbacks.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Ketel Marte has hit a home run in five of his last six road appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Eugenio Suarez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four games against AL East opponents.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one total base in 12 of his last 13 appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
  • Merrill Kelly has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances.
  • Eugenio Suarez has recorded at least one Double in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five day games.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
  • Ketel Marte has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six road appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Eugenio Suarez has scored at least one run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six games against AL East opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

I’ll stay with the Diamondbacks. Kelly is pitching pretty well lately with five earned over his last three starts in 16.0 combined innings. Kelly is 2-0 in that time. As for Bradley, he’s struggled with 15 earned over his last 14.0 innings, going 0-3 across three starts.

On Saturday the Diamondbacks gave up four runs in the first two innings and 13 hits overall. Arizona needs a shot in the arm on offense Sunday, as they mustered just five hits in Game two. Still, I think the Diamondbacks have a reasonable shot at a W in the finale.

Andrew's Free Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -106

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