The St. Louis Cardinals (15-23) and Milwaukee Brewers (23-15) play the 3rd game of a 4-game set at American Family Field Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Cardinals vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 5-0
The Cardinals have lost 6 straight and are coming off an 11-2 loss at the Brewers Friday with the Over (8.5) hitting. Cardinals 2B Nolan Gorman hit a solo shot in the 9th for St. Louis, which failed to cash as a +113 underdog.
The Brewers cashed as -123 favorites behind 6 shutout innings from LHP Robert Gasser in his MLB debut. SS Willy Adames hit 3 doubles for the Brewers, who have won 7 straight against the Cardinals.
Cardinals at Brewers projected starters
RHP Kyle Gibson vs. RHP Freddy Peralta
Gibson (2-2, 3.68 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 in 44 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER (3 R), 7 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 4-3 home setback vs. New York Mets Monday
- 2024 road stats: 1-1, 3.15 ERA (20 IP, 7 ER), 1.05 WHIP in 3 starts
- 2023 vs. Brewers: 0-0, 3.60 ERA (5 IP, 2 ER), 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 1 start, a 4-3 road loss in 10 innings with Baltimore Orioles June 6
- Career vs. Brewers: 1-2, 4.97 ERA (50 2/3 IP, 28 ER), 1.52 WHIP in 9 starts
Peralta (3-1, 3.49 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 38 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 6 BB, 5 K in 5-0 defeat at Chicago Cubs Sunday
- 2024 home stats: 1-0, 4.09 ERA (11 IP, 5 ER), 0.55 WHIP in 2 starts
- 2023 vs. Cardinals: 1-2, 4.15 ERA (17 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.27 WHIP in 3 starts
- Career vs. Cardinals: 3-6, 5.32 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 38 ER), 1.37 WHIP in 12 starts and 4 relief appearances
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Cardinals at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cardinals +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Brewers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals +1.5 (-145) | Brewers -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Cardinals at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 3, Cardinals 2
Moneyline
Milwaukee (-175) has outscored the Cardinals 18-3 over the last 2 Games and should hand them their 7th straight loss. However, with Gibson on the mound for St. Louis, -175 is a steep price to pay on the Brewers.
PASS. Bet the run line and/or total instead.
Run line/Against the spread
Gibson’s stats are skewed after giving up a total of 13 runs over his 1st 3 starts this season. He has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 4 straight starts, and the Cardinals have outscored opponents 13-6 over that span.
St. Louis is also a respectable 8-7 on the run line as a road underdog this season and should bounce back after 2 straight embarrassing losses.
BET CARDINALS +1.5 (-145).
Over/Under
Milwaukee is the best Over bet in the league this season at 23-14-1 (62.2%). However, the last 5 games Gibson has started have all ended with fewer than 7.5 total runs scored.
I’m personally only betting the run line, but if I were forced to play this total, I would take the Under and hope that Gibson bounces back after an average start last time out against the Mets.
LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-105).
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