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Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Prediction 9-10-24 MLB Picks

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San Diego Padres (81-64) vs. Seattle Mariners (73-71)
September 10, 2024 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: Seattle Mariners -104 / San Diego Padres -114; Over/Under: +7
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego Padres and Seattle Mariners meet Tuesday in MLB Game 1 action at T-Mobile Park. Here’s a Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Prediction. This article will include a Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Pick.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 81-64 on the year after playing the Tigers and Giants. The San Diego Padres have scored 14 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 Games. The San Diego Padres have won 4 of their last 6 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Manny Machado leads the San Diego Padres with 145 hits and 90 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Jurickson Profar have combined for 284 hits and 165 RBI.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 73-71 on the year after playing the Athletics and Cardinals. The Seattle Mariners have scored 16 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Seattle Mariners have won 4 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 127 hits and 49 RBI, while Cal Raleigh and Josh Rojas have combined for 190 hits and 116 RBI.

San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Pick Matchup

Yu Darvish gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 4-3 with a 3.51 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. Darvish has allowed 10 hits and 5 earned runs in his last 5.2 innings. Darvish has a 1.59 ERA and a .153 allowed batting average in 17 road innings. Darvish is 7-4 with a 3.57 ERA and 97 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.

George Kirby gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 11-10 with a 3.61 ERA and 162 strikeouts this season. Kirby has allowed 11 hits and 7 runs in his last 11.2 innings. Kirby has a 2.94 ERA and a .241 allowed batting average in 70.1 home innings. This will be Kirby’s second career Game against the San Diego Padres.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The Padres have won nine of their last 10 night games following a loss.
  • The Mariners have lost each of their last seven games as underdogs.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last six Tuesday games.
  • The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last five road night games.
  • The Mariners have lost the first inning in each of their last three games against NL West opponents.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Mitch Haniger has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Mariners as underdogs against NL West opponents.
  • J.P. Crawford has recorded a Double in each of his last four home appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josh Rojas has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven home appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mariners’ last 11 games.
  • George Kirby has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
  • Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 11 games.
  • Justin Turner has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • George Kirby has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Mariners as home underdogs.
  • Luis Urias has recorded an RBI in four of his five previous appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Yu Darvish has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with his team as a road favorite against AL West opponents.
  • Luis Arraez has scored a run in each of the Padres’ last four night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yu Darvish has recorded five or more strikeouts in 11 of his last 12 appearances against the Mariners.
  • Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Padres’ last eight night games.
  • Jackson Merrill has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last five games as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Jackson Merrill has recorded a Double in each of the Padres’ last five night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Padres’ last nine games as favorites.
  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances with the Padres as road favorites against AL opponents.

Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Prediction

The Seattle Mariners are in must-win territory as they’re fighting for their playoff lives. However, that hasn’t stopped the Mariners from losing Games, not scoring runs, and blowing a huge division lead. The San Diego Padres have been one of the best teams in the second half of the season and are as Healthy as they’ve been all year. One of those players who recently returned is Yu Darvish, an All-Star caliber pitcher when he’s right. In a pick ’em price, I have to lean toward the Padres. Two teams that have been heading in different directions over the last month or so. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: San Diego Padres -114

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