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San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 8-21-24 MLB Picks

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Minnesota Twins (70-56) vs. San Diego Padres (72-55)
August 21, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres -122 / Minnesota Twins +103; Over/Under: +8.5
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The Minnesota Twins and San Diego Padres meet Wednesday in MLB Game 3 action at Petco Park. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins Prediction. This article will include a San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins Pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 70-56 on the year and play the Cardinals and Braves next. The Minnesota Twins have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Minnesota Twins have won 10 of their last 12 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 115 hits and 48 RBI, while Carlos Santana and Jose Miranda have combined for 196 hits and 101 RBI.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 72-55 on the year and play the Mets and Cardinals next. The San Diego Padres have scored 14 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 Games. The San Diego Padres have won 12 of their last 13 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jurickson Profar leads the San Diego Padres with 129 hits and 76 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Manny Machado have combined for 248 hits and 142 RBI.

Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres Pitching Pick Matchup

Simeon Woods Richardson gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 4-3 with a 3.77 ERA and 92 strikeouts this season. Richardson has allowed 13 hits and 7 runs in his last 16 innings. Richardson has a 4.27 ERA and .265 allowed batting average in 52.2 road innings. This will be Richardson’s first career Game against the San Diego Padres.

Matt Waldron gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 7-10 with a 4.29 ERA and 127 strikeouts this season. Waldron has allowed 16 hits and 13 runs in his last 15.2 innings. Waldron has a 4.52 ERA and .239 allowed batting average in 61.2 home innings. This will be Waldron’s first career game against the Minnesota Twins.

Why the San Diego Padres will Beat the Twins

  • The Padres have won each of their last 10 games against American League opponents following a home win.
  • The Twins have lost 16 of their last 18 road games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against National League opponents.
  • The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games at Petco Park.
  • The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games as road underdogs against National League opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Jackson Merrill has recorded a Double in each of the Padres’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Padres’ last eight games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jackson Merrill has scored at least one run in each of the Padres’ last eight day games.
  • David Peralta has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Padres’ last seven day games.
  • Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in 13 of his last 14 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Padres as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Jurickson Profar has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four home games against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Max Kepler has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded two RBIs in each of his last four appearances with the Twins as road underdogs.
  • Carlos Santana has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
  • Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine road appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Carlos Santana has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances in day games.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.

San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

Simeon Woods Richardson has been solid all year and worth a look in the plus money role, but he’s also been hit on the road and the Padres have been hot all second half. Wins like last night only add to the Padres’ confidence at the moment. The Padres continue to put pressure on the Dodgers for that NL West title. Matt Waldron has had his fair shares of ups and downs, but this is about not wanting to step in front of the Padres. I’ll lay the cheap price with the Padres at home.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: San Diego Padres -122

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