The San Diego Padres (16-18) kick off a 3-Game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (14-18) Friday night. First pitch from Chase Field is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting of 2024; Diamondbacks won 7-6 in 2023
The Padres snapped a 5-game losing streak by winning the final 2 games of their series against the Cincinnati Reds in San Diego. They last played Wednesday, beating the Reds 6-2.
The Diamondbacks have lost their last 3 series and 5 of their last 7 games. They were shut out by the Los Angeles Dodgers 8-0 at home Wednesday.
Padres at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Dylan Cease vs. RHP Slade Cecconi
Cease (3-2, 2.78 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.87 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 35 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 5-1 home loss to Philadelphia Phillies Saturday
- Was 3-0 with 0.94 ERA in previous 3 starts
Cecconi (1-1, 2.25 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.50 WHIP, 1 BB and 11 K in 12 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 3-1 road loss to Seattle Mariners Saturday
- Has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 5 of 6 career starts
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Padres at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:19 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Padres -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (+150) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
Padres at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 7, Diamondbacks 3
Moneyline
The Diamondbacks have scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 7 Games.
They have lost the 1st game of their last 9 series and are 1-9 in series openers this season.
The Padres (-110) are 8-6 on the road.
However, while -110 odds are reasonable for betting the Padres for a straight-up win, the nice plus odds on the run line and numbers behind the Padres’ wins and Diamondbacks’ losses make that a better bet.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
The Padres have won by 2 or more runs in 13 of their 16 wins this season.
Twelve of the Diamondbacks’ last 13 losses have been by 2 or more runs.
Since you can feel confident in a San Diego victory straight up, you should also love the odds of it covering the run line.
BET PADRES -1.5 (+155).
Over/Under
Six of the last 7 and 8 of the last 10 games for Arizona have not reached 9 total runs. Eight of their last 10 losses have had 8 or fewer runs.
However, while 3 of the Padres’ last 4 wins have not reached 9 total runs, 11 of their 16 wins this season have.
BET OVER 9 (+100).
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