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Rays vs Padres Prediction - MLB Picks 6/17/23

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San Diego Padres (33-36) vs Tampa Bay Rays (51-22)

Game Info: Saturday, June 17, 2023 at 7:15 pm (Petco Park)

Blake Snell (2-6) (3.78) vs Zach Eflin (8-2) (3.28)

Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -105 / Tampa Bay Rays -115 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Tampa Bay Rays will play the San Diego Padres in Game 2 of their series on Saturday night at Petco Park in San Diego, California. 

Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 51-22 this season and they have won three Games in a row. Tampa Bay won the first Game in this series by a score of 6-2 on Friday night. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.51 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .224 opponent batting average this year. The Rays offense has scored 411 runs with a .264 batting average and a .338 on base percentage. Randy Arozarena is batting .285 with 13 home runs and 48 RBI’s for the Rays. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Zach Eflin, who is 8-2 with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 71.1 innings pitched this season.

Padres Preview

The San Diego Padres are 33-36 this season and they have won five of their last eight Games. Prior to losing the first Game in this series, San Diego won two out of three Games against the Guardians. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 293 runs with a .229 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this season. Fernando Tatis is batting .284 with 14 home runs and 34 RBI’s for the Padres. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Blake Snell, who is 2-6 with a 3.78 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 69.0 innings pitched this year.

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Trends

Tampa Bay is 2-5 in their last 7 Saturday Games and 3-9 in their last 12 Game two’s of a series. The over is 5-1 in Tampa Bay’s last 6 Saturday Games. San Diego is 4-0 in their last 4 Game two’s of a series and 5-3 in their last 8 Games. The under is 6-0 in San Diego’s last 6 Saturday Games. Tampa Bay is 10-1 in these two teams last 11 head to head meetings.

Pick

The Rays continue to hold the best record in baseball, but most of their losses have come on the road this year. Tampa Bay is starting Zach Eflin, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. San Diego is starting Blake Snell, who has allowed two earned runs in his last four starts (24.0 IP). Snell has pitched very well recently and I am going to take him to get the Padres a win here. 

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