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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 7-20-24 Picks

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Philadelphia Phillies (62-35) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (49-48)
July 20, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Pittsburgh Pirates +149 / Philadelphia Phillies -175; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Philadelphia Phillies and Pittsburgh Pirates meet Saturday in MLB Game 2 action at PNC Park. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 62-35 on the year after Games against the Dodgers and Athletics. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 21 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 Games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won 10 of their last 12 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 109 hits and 70 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos have combined for 180 hits and 110 RBI.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 49-48 on the year after playing the Brewers and White Sox. The Pittsburgh Pirates have scored 23 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 4 straight Games. The Pittsburgh Pirates have won 8 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 113 hits and 61 RBI, while Oneil Cruz and Andrew McCutchen have combined for 152 hits and 72 RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Pick Matchup

Cristopher Sanchez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 7-4 with a 2.96 ERA and 87 strikeouts this season. Sanchez has allowed 12 hits and 9 runs in his last 10 innings. Sanchez has a 5.54 ERA and .310 allowed batting average in 37.1 road innings. Sanchez is 0-1 with a 0.69 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Luis Ortiz gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 4-2 with a 2.84 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. Ortiz has allowed 11 hits and 2 runs in his last 13.2 innings. Ortiz has a 3.41 ERA and .235 allowed batting average in 31.2 home innings. Ortiz is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 5 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will Beat the Phillies

  • The Pirates have won each of their last three games as home underdogs against the Phillies.
  • The Phillies have lost eight of their last nine games at PNC Park against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 games against the Phillies.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games at PNC Park.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

  • Rowdy Tellez has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances in night games.
  • Andrew McCutchen has recorded a Double in three of the Pirates’ last four games.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Pirates’ last seven Saturday night games as underdogs.
  • Andrew McCutchen has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Pirates’ last four games.
  • Bryan Reynolds has scored at least one run in each of the Pirates’ last four home games against the Phillies.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Pirates’ last 10 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Oneil Cruz has recorded two or more hits in each of his last three appearances in night games.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Trea Turner has hit a home run in four of the Phillies’ last five games as favorites.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded at least one Double in each of the Phillies’ last four road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies’ last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Phillies’ last six road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bryce Harper has recorded at least one Single in each of the Phillies’ last seven Saturday night games as favorites.
  • Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies’ last seven games as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 16 appearances in night games.
  • Bryce Harper ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.573) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates rank T27th in the league for doubles this season (135).
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates rank T4th in the league for home runs allowed this season (95).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (886).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (484).

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies are going to get the benefit of the doubt because they’re the better team and Cristopher Sanchez has been sharp this season. However, the Pirates continue to win enough Games to deserve a look in the underdog role, and Luis Ortiz has held his own as well. The Pirates are also at home and are fresh off an emotional big victory to get above a .500 record. The Pirates and the plus money is a worthwhile bet on Saturday.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates +149

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