Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Prediction 9-11-24 MLB Picks

The Miami Marlins and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Wednesday in MLB action from PNC Park. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Pirates vs Marlins pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

Miami played the Philadelphia Phillies over the weekend. The Marlins lost the first pair in that set but won Saturday and Sunday to even things out. After a 3-2 loss to the Pirates in the opener, in Game two Miami was down 6-1 by the fifth inning in a 6-4 loss. Starter Adam Oller finished with 5.0 innings and six earned runs.

For the starter gig on Wednesday, the Marlins are sending out Jonathan Bermudez. In the first two Games (zero starts) of his career Bermudez has a 5.79 ERA without a decision.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

Pittsburgh played the Washington Nationals over the weekend. The Pirates won Thursday 9-4 and Sunday 7-3 for a split series. On Tuesday Pittsburgh scored four in the fifth inning and held on for the victory.

In the starter slot for the Pirates in the finale, it’ll be Bailey Falter. So far Falter is 7-7 with a 4.45 ERA in 24 starts. Falter is 17-21 with a 4.65 ERA in 84 career Games (55 starts).

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last four day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Pirates’ last seven home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last six games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last four games.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Joey Bart has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last five appearances against the Marlins.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded two hits in each of his last five appearances against the Marlins.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Pirates’ last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Andrew McCutchen has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Oneil Cruz has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 14 road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Jake Burger has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Marlins’ last six games against the Pirates.
• Jake Burger has hit a home run in six of his last 17 appearances in day games.
• Jonah Bride has recorded at least one Single in each of his six previous appearances against the Pirates after playing the previous day.
• Jake Burger has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one total base in 13 of his last 14 road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Prediction

I might try the Marlins here. At least some of that is due to Falter’s recent struggles. Over his last three starts combined, Falter has 12 earned runs over 14.0 total innings on 20 hits and five walks. Miami should have a few early opportunities if he can’t get it going.

On Tuesday the Marlins had a couple of nice offensive performances but couldn’t overcome Oller’s bad inning. If Miami gets a decent start from Bermudez they’ll probably have a shot here but I’m probably not touching it.