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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 5-26-24 Picks

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Atlanta Braves (29-20) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (25-28)
May 26, 2024 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: Pittsburgh Pirates +173 / Atlanta Braves -208; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Braves and Pittsburgh Pirates meet Sunday in MLB Game 3 action at PNC Park. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 29-20 on the season and play the Nationals and Athletics next. The Atlanta Braves have scored 9 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 8 Games. The Atlanta Braves have lost 5 of their last 7 Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Marcell Ozuna leads the Atlanta Braves with 57 hits and 47 RBI, while Michael Harris II and Ronald Acuna Jr. have combined for 97 hits and 32 RBI.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 25-28 on the year and play the Tigers and Blue Jays after this game. The Pittsburgh Pirates have scored 21 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 straight games. The Pittsburgh Pirates have won 6 of their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 56 hits and 28 RBI, while Oneil Cruz and Connor Joe have combined for 92 hits and 41 RBI.

Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Chris Sale gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 7-1 with a 2.22 ERA and 70 strikeouts this season. Sale has allowed 19 hits and 1 run in his last 25 innings. Sale has a 4.15 ERA and .258 allowed batting average in 17.1 road innings. This will be Sale’s second career Game against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Martin Perez gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 1-3 with a 4.80 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. Perez has allowed 32 hits and 18 earned runs in his last 19.2 innings. Perez has a 4.73 ERA and .297 allowed batting average in 26.2 home innings. This will be Perez’s second career Game against the Atlanta Braves.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Braves have won four of their last five games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The Pirates have lost three of their last four games against the Braves following a home win.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six Sunday games against the Pirates.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games against the Braves following a win.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Single in each of the Pirates’ last eight games against the Braves.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one total base in each of the Pirates’ last eight games against the Braves.
  • Martin Perez has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in day games.
  • Oneil Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Pirates’ last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against the Braves.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Pirates’ last five games against NL opponents.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last eight games against the Braves.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Chris Sale has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Braves’ last eight games against the Pirates.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Austin Riley has scored at least one run in each of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Sean Murphy has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Travis d’Arnaud has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances at PNC Park against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Michael Harris has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last eight road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 16 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Chris Sale has recorded nine or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

This is a massive price for an Atlanta Braves, a team that’s been underwhelming this week and can’t string together offense. However, we know it’s only a matter of time before the Braves get rolling offensively, and Chris Sale looks like the Chris Sale of old. With a 2.22 ERA and 70 strikeouts, Sale is a top-5 candidate for NY CY Young currently in terms of betting odds. Martin Perez has been hittable all season, and he’s been at his worst at home, with a near .300 allowed batting average. I like the Braves to get a bounce back win on Sunday, and I’ll lay the RL to shave down the price.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Atlanta Braves -1.5

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