MLB

Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 9-11-24 MLB Picks

Published

5d ago

Sep 11, 2024 / 9821 Views

Tampa Bay Rays (71-74) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (87-58)
September 11, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -204 / Tampa Bay Rays +170; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Rays and Philadelphia Phillies meet Wednesday in MLB Game 3 action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction. This article will include a Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Pick.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 71-74 on the year and play the Guardians and Red Sox next. The Tampa Bay Rays have scored 7 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 2 of their last 4 Games. The Tampa Bay Rays have split their last 6 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 147 hits and 65 RBI, while Jose Caballero and Brandon Lowe have combined for 171 hits and 93 RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 87-58 on the year and play the Mets and Brewers next. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 147 hits and 89 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos have combined for 277 hits and 157 RBI.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Pick Matchup

Shane Baz gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 2-3 with a 3.27 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. Baz has allowed 4 hits and 3 earned runs in his last 11 innings. Baz has a 2.76 ERA and a .235 allowed batting average in 32.2 road innings. This will be Baz’s first career Game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Zack Wheeler gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 14-6 with a 2.59 ERA and 190 strikeouts this season. Wheeler has allowed 6 hits and 1 run in his last 13 innings. Wheeler has a 2.27 ERA and .187 allowed batting average in 95.1 home innings. Wheeler is 0-2 with a 4.91 ERA and 32 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

The Phillies have won each of their last nine night games against teams that held a losing record.
The Rays have lost each of their last seven games against the Phillies following a loss.
The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games against the Phillies following a loss.
The Phillies have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 night games against American League opponents following a home win.
The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Wednesday night home games.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in each of the Phillies’ last four games against AL East opponents.
Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies’ last four games against AL East opponents.
Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in five of his last six home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Kyle Schwarber has scored at least one run in each of his nine previous home appearances against the Rays.
Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 games against opponents that held a losing record.
Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one total base in each of the Phillies’ last 10 games against opponents that held a losing record.
Zack Wheeler has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his five previous appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in five of his last six appearances against AL East opponents.
Zack Wheeler ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.59) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in two of the Rays’ last three road games against the Phillies.
Brandon Lowe has recorded an RBI in three of the Rays’ last four road games against the Phillies.
Brandon Lowe has scored a run in five of his last six road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Josh Lowe has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rays’ last six night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Josh Lowe has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rays’ last 12 night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with the Rays as underdogs against NL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank in the top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
The Philadelphia Phillies rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (1292).
The Tampa Bay Rays rank 29th in the league for RBI’s this season (520).
The Tampa Bay Rays rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.368).

Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies are closing in on a division title, while the Tampa Bay Rays are playing like a team that’s waiting for the offseason to get here. While Shane Baz has been solid this season, I don’t trust the Rays to find success against Zack Wheeler. One of the better starters in the NL this season, the Phillies have won 8 of the last 11 Games Wheeler has pitched. This just feels like Games the Phillies can use to get fat as they close in on the NL East. Give me the Phillies and the RL for max betting value.