Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets NLDS Game 3 odds, tips and betting trends

The Philadelphia Phillies hit the road for Game 3 of the NLDS against the New York Mets on Tuesday at 5:08 p.m. ET at Citi Field. The teams are tied 1-1 in the series.

Oddsmakers project the Phillies as a close favorite (-114 to win on the moneyline) against the Mets (-106). The Phillies are set to send out Aaron Nola (14-8, 3.57 ERA) against the Mets and Sean Manaea (12-6, 3.47 ERA).

Before watching this Phillies vs. Mets matchup, here’s everything you need to know about Tuesday’s playoff action, including viewing options.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets odds and betting lines

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 9:17 p.m. ET. For a full list of Sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

• Favorite: Phillies (-114, bet $114 to win $100)
• Underdog: Mets (-106, bet $106 to win $100)
• Over/under: 7

Phillies vs. Mets: Live streaming info & game time

• Game Day: Tuesday, October 8, 2024
• Game Time: 5:08 p.m. ET
• Stadium: Citi Field
• TV Channel: FOX Sports Networks
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Phillies stats and trends

Phillies betting records

• This season, the Phillies have won 81 out of the 131 games, or 61.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
• This season Philadelphia has won 78 of its 126 games, or 61.9%, when favored by at least -114 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 53.3% chance to win.
• Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 80 of its 164 chances.
• The Phillies are 74-89-0 against the spread in their 163 chances this season.

Aaron Nola (Phillies probable starter)

• Nola (14-8) takes the mound for the Phillies in his 34th start of the season. He has a 3.57 ERA in 199 1/3 innings pitched, with 197 strikeouts.
• The righty’s most recent time out was on Sunday, Sept. 29 against the Washington Nationals, when he went five innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing nine hits.
• The 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.57, with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 33 games this season. Opponents are hitting .247 against him.
• Nola heads into this game with 20 quality starts under his belt this year.
• Nola will look to build upon a four-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging six frames per appearance).
• He has had five appearances this season in which he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
• He will take the hill against a Mets offense that is hitting .246 as a unit (12th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .415 (ninth in MLB) with 207 total home runs (sixth in MLB).
• Nola has thrown 13 1/3 innings, giving up six earned runs on 10 hits while striking out 15 against the Mets this season.
• The 31-year-old’s 3.57 ERA ranks 26th, 1.199 WHIP ranks 32nd, and 8.9 K/9 ranks 23rd among qualifying pitchers this season.

Phillies batting stats

• The Phillies have hit 198 homers this season, which ranks seventh in the league.
• Hitters for Philadelphia rank fifth in the majors with a combined .425 team slugging percentage.
• The Phillies’ .257 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking fifth in MLB.
• Philadelphia has scored 784 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB.
• The Phillies are among the best in the league at getting on base, ranking fifth with an OBP of .325.
• Philadelphia ranks 15th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.5 whiffs per contest.

Mets stats and trends

Mets betting records

• The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 68 games this year and have walked away with the win 31 times (45.6%) in those games.
• New York has a win-loss record of 28-33 when favored by -106 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 51.5% chance of walking away with the win.
• New York and its opponents have gone over in 86 of its 167 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Mets have an against the spread record of 89-77-0 in 166 games with a line this season.

Sean Manaea (Mets probable starter)

• Manaea (12-6 with a 3.47 ERA and 184 strikeouts in 181 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Mets, his 33rd of the season.
• In his last outing on Wednesday against the Milwaukee Brewers, the lefty went five innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering six hits.
• The 32-year-old has put up a 3.47 ERA and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings over 32 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .202 to opposing batters.
• Manaea has collected 15 quality starts this year.
• Manaea has pitched five or more innings in a game 26 times this year entering this matchup.
• In seven of his appearances this season he has not give up an earned run.
• The opposing Phillies offense has a collective .257 batting average, and is fourth in the league with 1423 total hits and fifth in MLB action with 784 runs scored. They have the fifth-ranked slugging percentage (.425) and are seventh in all of MLB with 198 home runs.
• Manaea has pitched 16 2/3 innings, giving up 10 earned runs on 14 hits while striking out 15 against the Phillies this season.
• The 32-year-old’s 3.47 ERA ranks 20th, 1.084 WHIP ranks 11th, and 9.1 K/9 ranks 19th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Mets batting stats

• The Mets rank sixth in baseball with 207 home runs. They average 1.3 per game.
• So far this year, New York ranks ninth in the majors, slugging .415.
• The Mets have the 12th-ranked batting average in the league (.246).
• New York is the seventh-highest scoring team in baseball, averaging 4.7 runs per game (768 total).
• The Mets are eighth in baseball with an on-base percentage of .319.