MLB

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction 8-13-24 MLB Picks

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1w ago

Aug 13, 2024 / 859 Views

Miami Marlins (44-75) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (69-49)
August 13, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -179 / Miami Marlins +151; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies meet Tuesday in MLB Game 1 action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 44-75 on the year after playing the Reds and Padres. The Miami Marlins have scored 17 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 Games. The Miami Marlins have won 7 of their last 9 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jake Burger leads the Miami Marlins with 93 hits and 53 RBI, while Jesus Sanchez and Nick Gordon have combined for 144 hits and 78 RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 69-49 on the year after playing the Dodgers and Diamondbacks. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 8 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 Games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won 4 of their last 5 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 134 hits and 80 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Bryce Harper have combined for 220 hits and 130 RBI.

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Pick Matchup

Valente Bellozo gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 1-1 with a 3.05 ERA and 19 strikeouts this season. Bellozo has allowed 16 hits and 7 runs in 20.2 innings this season. This will be Bellozo’s fifth career MLB start. This will be Bellozo’s first career Game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Taijuan Walker gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 3-3 with a 5.60 ERA and 43 strikeouts this season. Walker has allowed 18 hits and 13 runs in his last 20.1 innings. Walker will pitch for the first time since June after dealing with a finger injury. Walker is 6-2 with a 3.26 ERA and 76 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will Beat the Marlins

The Phillies have won each of their last nine night games against the Marlins following a loss.
The Marlins have lost each of their last eight night games against the Phillies following a win.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against the Phillies following a win.
The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against NL East opponents following a loss.
The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Tuesday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight night games against the Marlins.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
Trea Turner has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 18 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
Trea Turner has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two games against opponents that held a losing record.
Trea Turner has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies’ last four home games against NL opponents.
Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in four of the Phillies’ last five games against NL opponents.
J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
Bryson Stott has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 12 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Jake Burger has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Marlins’ last eight night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Jake Burger has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five road appearances after not playing the previous day.
Jake Burger has scored at least one run in six of his last seven appearances after not playing the previous day.
Jake Burger has hit a home run in five of the Marlins’ last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
Jake Burger has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins’ last nine games against opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
The Philadelphia Phillies rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.72).
The Miami Marlins rank 30th in the league for walks this season (282).
The Miami Marlins rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (440).

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies are due for a bounce back performance to keep padding their lead in the NL East, and this is just what the doctor ordered. The Miami Marlins have thrown in the towel on the season and the jury is still out on Valente Bellozo given the small sample size. Taijuan Walker may have rust after spending a couple of months on the sideline, but I’m banking on the better team at home. Give me the Phillies and the RL for max betting value.