Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 9-23-24 MLB Picks

The Chicago Cubs and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Monday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Phillies vs Cubs pick.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

Chicago is fresh off a weekend series versus the Washington Nationals. The Cubs won the first pair before a 5-1 loss Saturday. In the finale, Chicago powered out a 5-0 shutout win. Shota Imanaga lasted 7.0 innings in the start with six hits, no walks, and four Ks.

Nate Pearson will start for Chicago on Monday. Pearson is 2-2 with a 4.71 ERA and 71 strikeouts this year.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

Over on the Phillies’ side, they played the New York Mets in their last set. Philadelphia lost two of the first three Games (winning 12-2 Friday). On Sunday the Phillies took a tough 2-1 loss. Starter Zack Wheeler finished with 7.0 innings and two earned runs.

In the starter slot Monday Philly will go with Aaron Nola. So far Nola is 12-8 with a 3.54 ERA in 31 starts. Nola is 102-79 with a 3.70 ERA in 266 career starts.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Cubs’ last seven night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Phillies’ last four home games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last six night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last five games against NL Central opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Nick Castellanos has hit a home run in two of the Phillies’ last three games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one Double in five of his last six home appearances against the Cubs.
• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Phillies’ last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Aaron Nola has recorded a win in six of his last seven home appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Aaron Nola has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against NL opponents.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one Single in each of the Phillies’ last 10 Monday night games.
• Bryce Harper has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Cubs.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances against the Cubs after playing the previous day.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last nine games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 9th in the league in Home Runs (36) this season.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Cody Bellinger has hit a home run in two of the Cubs’ last three games as underdogs.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Cubs’ last nine games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
• Cody Bellinger has scored at least one run in each of the Cubs’ last seven road games.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances against the Phillies.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cubs’ last 10 games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 12 night games.
• Ian Happ has recorded a Double in five of the Cubs’ last six games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Justin Steele has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in night games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
• The Philadelphia Phillies rank T3rd in the league for doubles this season (276).
• The Chicago Cubs rank 6th in the league for walks this season (524).
• The Chicago Cubs rank T8th in the league for triples this season (28).

Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

I’ll go with Philly here. Nola needs to keep it going with another solid start, though. In his last outing, Nola notched 7.0 innings and just one earned in a no-decision versus Milwaukee. Prior to that, however, Nola had 10 earned over 9.0 combined innings in a pair of losses to the Mets and Marlins.

On Sunday the Phillies couldn’t get much going at all on five team hits. Four of those hits belonged to Trea Turner (run) and Nick Castellanos (Alec Bohm had the other). Everyone else came up empty. The good news is that Philly only used one bullpen arm so they’ll be all set following Nola on Monday. The bats have to get moving, though.