The Philadelphia Phillies (28-12) and Miami Marlins (10-31) conclude a 3-Game series Sunday with 1st pitch from loanDepot park slated for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Phillies lead 2-0 with 8-2 and 8-3 wins
Philadelphia has outscored the Marlins 16-5 after another dominant victory on Saturday. 2B Bryson Stott finished with 2 hits and 4 RBI, headlined by a tiebreaking bases-loaded triple in the 6th inning. Starting RHP Taijuan Walker improved to 3-0, allowing just 1 ER in 6 IP. Philadelphia has won 13 of 15 and has the best record in baseball.
Miami held a 1-0 lead through 5 innings before dropping their 5th straight game. LHP Jesus Luzardo was the hard-luck loser (5 2/3 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 8 K). The Marlins only offense were homers by SS Vidal Brujan and 3B Otto Lopez. Miami is 5-17 at home.
Phillies at Marlins projected starters
RHP Zack Wheeler vs. LHP Braxton Garrett
Wheeler (4-3, 1.64 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 0.89 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 49 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 R (0 ER), 4 H, 1 BB, 11 K in a 6-1 win over the San Francisco Giants Monday
- 2023 vs Marlins: 0-0, 3.00 ERA (18 IP, 6 ER) in 3 starts
Garrett makes his 1st start of the season after dealing with shoulder soreness in spring training. He went 9-7, 3.66 ERA in 2023 with a 1.15 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 159 2/3 IP.
- 2023 home stats: 3-4, 4.46 ERA (80 2/3 IP, 40 ER) in 16 games (15 starts)
- 2023 vs Marlins: 1-0, 5.40 ERA (10 IP, 6 ER) in 2 starts
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Phillies at Marlins odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies -255 (bet $255 to win $100) | Marlins +210 (bet $100 to win $210)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-137) | Marlins +1.5 (+114)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Phillies at Marlins picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 5, Marlins 1
Moneyline.
PASS.
I love the Phillies (-255) to win this game, but I’m not going to pay all that juice. I’ll take the more reasonable odds on the run line.
Run line/Against the spread
BET PHILLIES -1.5 (-137).
There is no real reason not to love the Phillies in this game. You’ve got the best record in baseball against the worst. Philadelphia has their ace on the mound pitching lights out and their offense is firing on all cylinders. And the added bonus, they get to face a lefty in Garrett which they hit .280 against as a team. The Marlins are 1-11 against NL east opponents. Oh, and the Marlins have a 5.35 team ERA at home this season.
Jump all over the Phillies. Even consider buying them at -2.5 (+118) or even at -3.5 (+196) for a nicer payout.
Over/Under
PASS.
Focus all your wagers on that run line. The Phillies could go over this total by themselves and my gut is telling me to take the Over, but you’ve got Wheeler on the mound who has allowed just 1 ER in his last 4 starts (25 1/3 IP). In their last 10 meetings, they are 4-5-1 against the Over. This line is pulling me in too many directions, so I’d rather just stay away.
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