NY Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction 5-8-24 Picks

The Houston Astros and NY Yankees meet Wednesday in MLB Game 2 action at Nissan Arena. Here’s a NY Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 12-23 this season after losses to the Guardians and Mariners. The Houston Astros have scored 7 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 Games. The Houston Astros have won 6 of their last 8 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 48 hits and 12 RBI while Jeremy Pena and Kyle Tucker have combined for 78 hits and 37 RBI.

NY Yankees Betting Preview

The NY Yankees are riding a 4-Game winning streak which includes a sweep of the Tigers. The NY Yankees have scored 20 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 Games. The NY Yankees have won 5 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Juan Soto leads the NY Yankees with 46 hits and 28 RBI while Anthony Rizzo and Anthony Volpe have combined for 71 hits and 36 RBI.

Houston Astros vs NY Yankees Pitching Matchup

Spencer Arrighetti gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 0-3 with a 8.27 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. Arrighetti is making his fifth career start, and he has a 14.85 ERA and .424 allowed abutting average in 6.2 road innings. Arrighetti has walked 10 batters in 16.1 innings for his career. This will be Arrighetti’s first career game against the NY Yankees.

Carlos Rodon gets the ball for the NY Yankees, and he is 2-2 with a 3.68 ERA and 36 strikeouts this season. Rodon allowed 8 hits and 6 eared runs in 4 innings against the Orioles in his last start. Rodon has a 1.38 ERA and .140 allowed batting average in 13 home innings. Rodon is 3-0 with a 2.47 ERA and 57 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Carlos Rodon Record this season: 2-2 ERA: 3.68
• The Yankees have won each of their last eight games against the Astros.
• The Astros have lost each of their last seven road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against the Astros.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti Record this season: 0-3 ERA: 8.27
• The underdogs have won nine of the last 10 games between the Astros and Yankees.
• The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Astros following a home win.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites against the Astros following a win.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 13 games as road underdogs against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Astros’ last seven night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last eight games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four night games between the Astros and Yankees at Yankee Stadium.

NY Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction

You can make a strong argument the Yankees should be bigger favorites at home. The Houston Astros continue to be a mess and there’s no way you can back them with confidence. It gets even worse in this matchup when you consider how awful Spencer Arrighetti has been this season, especially on the road in a limited sample size. Carlos Rodon has held his own up to this point, and he’s shined at Yankee Stadium through 13 innings. This price feels like a steal. Give me the Yankees to win the second Game against the Astros.