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NY Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 7-7-24 Picks

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Boston Red Sox (48-39) vs. NY Yankees (54-36)
July 7, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -161 / Boston Red Sox +135; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees meet Sunday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. Here’s a NY Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Boston did well against the Miami Marlins in their last series. The Red Sox won all three of those Games 8-3, 7-2 and 6-5, then kept it going with a win 5-3 over the Yankees on Friday. In Game two Boston was pummeled in a 14-4 loss. Starter Josh Winckowski lasted 3.2 innings with three earned runs.

In the starter role for the finale the Red Sox are sending out Kutter Crawford. This year Crawford is 4-7 with a 3.47 ERA in 17 starts. Crawford is 13-22 with a 4.33 ERA in 70 career Games (53 starts).

New York Yankees Betting Preview

Over on the Yankees’ side, they’ve suffered an embarrassing slide lately and lost in a sweep to the Cincinnati Reds 3-2, 8-4 and 5-4 this week. Following their rough Friday loss, in Game two New York notched seven runs in the fifth inning alone. Gerrit Cole gave up four earned in 4.1 innings of work as starter.

It’ll be Luis Gil in the starter role for the Yankees on Sunday. So far this year Gil is 9-4 with a 3.41 ERA in 17 starts. Gil is 10-5 over his career with a 3.51 ERA in 24 starts total.

Yankees vs Red Sox Pick Injury Notes

Boston RP Chris Martin (elbow soreness) was placed on the 15-day IL Friday.

Yankees SP Cody Poteet (triceps) has resumed his throwing program. 2B Gleyber Torres (groin) wasn’t in the lineup Saturday.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Yankees’ last eight games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Red Sox’s last seven games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last five night games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last three night games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Trevino has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of his last 15 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • J.D. Davis has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Masataka Yoshida has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Red Sox’s last six night games.
  • Rafael Devers has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four road games against the Yankees.
  • Trevor Story has recorded a hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 Sunday night appearances.
  • Triston Casas has scored a run in each of his last eight Sunday appearances.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded two RBIs in five of the Red Sox’s last six games.

NY Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’ll stay with the Red Sox. Gil has struggled mightily over his last three starts, so Boston should have some early opportunities. In that trio Gil is 0-3 with 16 earned runs in 9.1 innings total. As for Crawford, he’s 2-1 in his last three with seven earned in 18.1 frames combined.

On Saturday the Red Sox had a 4-3 lead going into the bottom of the fifth but lost the handle from there. Boston could only get one hit off the Yankees pen, a 4.2-inning effort that deserves quite a bit of credit after a shaky Cole outing. This one seems like a coin flip but Boston should have a good shot at taking the series Sunday.

Andrew's Free Pick: Boston Red Sox +135

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