NY Mets vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 7-29-24 Picks

The Minnesota Twins and the New York Mets meet Monday in MLB action from Citi Field. Here’s a NY Mets vs Minnesota Twins Prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

Over the weekend the Twins took on the Detroit Tigers. Minnesota split the first two installments of that set, then on Sunday the Twins rolled to a 5-0 shutout win. Starter Bailey Ober was great with 8.0 innings, one hit, two walks and 11 Ks.

In the starter slot for Monday’s Game the Twins are sending out Simeon Woods Richardson. This year Richardson is 3-1 with a 3.27 ERA in 17 starts. Richardson is 3-2 with a 3.59 career ERA in 19 Games (18 starts).

New York Mets Betting Preview

Over on the Mets’ side, they played the Atlanta Braves this past weekend. New York won the first pair before a Saturday loss. In the finale the Mets took a 9-2 blowout loss. David Peterson gave up four earned in 5.0 innings as starter.

Jose Quintana will take the starter job for the Mets on Monday. This year Quintana is 5-6 with a 4.02 ERA in 20 starts. Quintana is 97-99 with a 3.76 ERA in 348 career Games (322 starts).

Mets vs Twins Pick Injury Notes

Mets CF Harrison Bader (ankle) was not in the starting lineup for Sunday’s finale.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last five home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Twins’ last seven night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last six games as favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last four night games at Citi Field.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Mets’ last six games as favorites against AL opponents.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
• Harrison Bader has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL Central opponents.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 20 appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
• Pete Alonso has hit at least one home run in four of the Mets’ last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• Jeff McNeil has recorded a Double in each of the Mets’ last four games as home favorites.
• Pete Alonso has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• Jose Quintana has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 18 appearances against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Jose Miranda has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
• Max Kepler has recorded at least one total base in each of the Twins’ last 12 games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Carlos Correa has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight road appearances.
• Carlos Correa has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Carlos Correa has recorded two RBIs in each of his last four appearances with the Twins as road underdogs.
• Max Kepler has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 12 games against opponents that held a winning record.

NY Mets vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’ll stay with the Mets. Quintana does have one bad outing in this last three, a loss to the Rockies with five earned in 5.2 innings. In his other two however, Quintana is 2-0 with just one earned on four hits and six walks.

On Sunday the Mets had a few rough pitching outings. That said, the damage was localized to three innings and Atlanta only mustered eight hits. Still, New York needs a lengthy start from Quintana to take some of the heat off the pen in Monday’s matchup.