NY Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 8-20-24 MLB Picks

The Baltimore Orioles and the New York Mets meet Tuesday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. Here’s a NY Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Mets vs Orioles pick.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Orioles played the rival Boston Red Sox over the weekend. Baltimore was able to win two of those four games, but lost the other pair. On Monday versus the Mets, the O’s took a tough walk-off loss 4-3. Starter Trevor Rogers lasted 4.2 innings with three earned.

As starter for Tuesday it’ll be Dean Kremer for the Orioles. This year Kremer is 5-9 with a 4.48 ERA in 17 starts. Kremer is 27-29 with a 4.38 ERA in 88 Games (87 starts).

New York Mets Betting Preview

Over on the Mets’ side, they played the Miami Marlins in their last series. New York won the first pair before a 3-2 loss on Sunday. In the opener versus Baltimore, the Mets got the walk-off homer from Francisco Alvarez. David Peterson went 7.0 innings in the start with two earned runs.

Starter for Tuesday will be New York’s Jose Quintana. This season Quintana is 6-8 with a 4.26 ERA in 24 starts. Quintana is 98-101 with a 3.78 ERA in 352 Games (326 starts) over his career.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Orioles’ last seven games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Ten of the Mets’ last 12 home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last four games against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in four of the Mets’ last five games against the Orioles.
• Jose Quintana has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games.
• J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Orioles.
• J.D. Martinez has recorded two or more total bases in 10 of his last 11 appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL East opponents.
• Pete Alonso has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last four games as favorites against the Orioles.
• Jose Quintana has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in night games.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Single in 10 of the Mets’ last 11 games against AL opponents.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in 20 of his last 21 appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.
• J.D. Martinez has hit at least one home run in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Double in three of the Orioles’ last four road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Dean Kremer has recorded a win in three of his four previous road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Orioles’ last six games.
• Anthony Santander has scored at least one run in six of the Orioles’ last seven games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 Tuesday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
• Anthony Santander has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last nine games as road underdogs.
• Anthony Santander has recorded at least one total base in each of the Orioles’ last nine games as road underdogs.
• Ramon Urias has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last two road games against opponents that held a winning record.

NY Mets vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

I’ll try the Orioles here. I could go either way, though; this one’s going to depend on the starters. Kremer posted a win in his last start with 6.0 innings and one earned versus the Nationals. In his two starts prior though, Kremer went 0-2 with nine earned in 9.1 innings. As for Quintana, he’s given up 12 earned runs over his last three starts in 15.2 innings total.

On Monday the O’s gave up the walk-off bomb and fell out of first place in the division. Coming back from a 3-0 deficit was quite a dramatic way to lose, but Baltimore needs to get back to Business. I like them to rebound well in Game two.