NFL

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction 11-3-24 NFL Picks

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3w ago

Oct 31, 2024 / 8628 Views

Evan Walker

Indianapolis Colts (4-4) vs. Minnesota Vikings (5-2)
November 3, 2024 8:20 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Vikings -6; Over/Under: +47.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Indianapolis Colts and Minnesota Vikings meet Sunday in week 9 NFL action at U.S. Bank Stadium. Here’s a Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts Pick.

Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview

The Indianapolis Colts beat the Dolphins, lost to the Texans, and play the Bills next. The Indianapolis Colts have lost 5 of their last 6 road Games. Anthony Richardson is completing 44.4 percent of his passes for 958 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Alec Pierce and Michael Pittman Jr. have combined for 746 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Josh Downs has 32 receptions.

The Indianapolis Colts ground Game is averaging 128 yards per contest, and Jonathan Taylor leads the way with 454 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Indianapolis is allowing 21.5 points and 379.6 yards per Game. Zaire Franklin leads the Indianapolis Colts with 87 tackles, Dayo Odeyingbo has 3 sacks and Jaylon Jones has 2 interceptions.

Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview

The Minnesota Vikings lost to the Lions and Rams, and they play the Jaguars next. The Minnesota Vikings have split their last 8 home Games. Sam Darnold is completing 67.2 percent of his passes for 1,610 yards, 14 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison have combined for 877 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Jalen Nailor has 14 receptions.

The Minnesota Vikings ground Game is averaging 111.4 yards per contest, and Aaron Jones leads the way with 501 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Minnesota is allowing 19.6 points and 346.9 yards per Game. Harrison Smith leads the Minnesota Vikings with 45 tackles, Pat Jones II has 5 sacks and Kamu Grugier-Hill has 2 interceptions.

Why the Minnesota Vikings will win

The Colts have lost each of their last nine games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
The Vikings have won 10 of their last 11 November home games against AFC opponents.
The Vikings have covered the spread in each of their last five November games against AFC opponents.
The Colts have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
The Vikings have won the first quarter in each of their last seven games.
The Colts have lost the first half in each of their last seven games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
The Vikings have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven games.

Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts

Justin Jefferson has scored the first touchdown in each of his last three November appearances with the Vikings as favorites.
Justin Jefferson has scored a touchdown in each of the Vikings’ last four home games against AFC South opponents.
T.J. Hockenson has recorded 33+ receiving yards in each of his last 15 home appearances.
Cam Akers has recorded 15+ rushing yards in 11 of his last 12 home appearances.
Cam Akers has recorded 13+ rushing and receiving yards in 16 of his 17 previous Sunday home appearances.
Sam Darnold has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his three previous home appearances against AFC South opponents.
Heading into Week 9, Sam Darnold has recorded the longest completion in a single game this season (97 yards vs 49ers, Week 2).

Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Facts

Michael Pittman Jr. has recorded 53+ receiving yards in each of the Colts’ last six November games.
Jonathan Taylor has recorded 71+ rushing yards in nine of his last 10 appearances following a road loss.
Kylen Granson has recorded 16+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last five appearances with the Colts as underdogs against NFC opponents.
Jonathan Taylor has scored the first touchdown in four of the Colts’ last five games against NFC opponents.
Jonathan Taylor has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last 10 November appearances.
Heading into Week 9, Alec Pierce ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (24.6) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

Heading into Week 9, the Vikings rank 1st in the NFL in interceptions (12) this season.
Heading into Week 9, the Vikings are the only team in the NFL to rank top 5 for both interceptions and sacks this season.
Heading into Week 9, the Colts rank 32nd in the NFL in time of possession per game (26:01) this season.
Heading into Week 9, the Colts rank 32nd in the NFL in Q2 points per game (2.4) this season.

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction

The Indianapolis Colts have been able to scratch out wins to stay at a .500 record, but they’re just not a team I like to back, especially against good teams. The Vikings have had extra time to prepare for this game, and their pass rush happy defense should be licking its chops against this Colts offensive line. Richardson and his 44.4 percent completion percentage won’t be excited to face this aggressive Brian Flores defense. This feels like it could be a blowout Sunday night. Give me the Vikings.